气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Increased economic drought impacts in Europe with anthropogenic warming

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01044-3
	Increased economic drought impacts in Europe with anthropogenic warming
	Naumann G.; Cammalleri C.; Mentaschi L.; Feyen L.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	485
结束页码	491
卷号	11 期号:6
英文摘要	While climate change will alter the distribution of water in time and space, quantifications of drought risk under global warming remain uncertain. Here, we show that in Europe, drought damages could strongly increase with global warming and cause a regional imbalance in future drought impacts. In the absence of climate action (4 °C in 2100 and no adaptation), annual drought losses in the European Union and United Kingdom combined are projected to rise to more than €65 billion per year compared with €9 billion per year currently, or two times larger when expressed relative to the size of the economy. Drought losses show the strongest rise in southern and western parts of Europe, where drought conditions at 4 °C could reduce regional agriculture economic output by 10%. With high warming, drought impacts will become a fraction of current impacts in northern and northeastern regions. Keeping global warming well below 2 °C would avoid most impacts in affected regions. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/237323
作者单位	European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Naumann G.,Cammalleri C.,Mentaschi L.,et al. Increased economic drought impacts in Europe with anthropogenic warming[J],2021,11(6).
APA	Naumann G.,Cammalleri C.,Mentaschi L.,&Feyen L..(2021).Increased economic drought impacts in Europe with anthropogenic warming.Nature Climate Change,11(6).
MLA	Naumann G.,et al."Increased economic drought impacts in Europe with anthropogenic warming".Nature Climate Change 11.6(2021).