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DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112509
Macroeconomic impacts of power sector reforms in China
Timilsina G.R.; Pang J.; Yang X.
发表日期2021
ISSN03014215
卷号157
英文摘要Many countries have undertaken market-oriented reforms of the power sector over the past four decades. However, the literature has not investigated whether the reforms have contributed to economic growth. This study assesses the potential macroeconomic impacts of following the market-based principle in operating and expanding the power system, an important ingredient of the power sector reform launched in China in 2015. The study uses a hybrid modeling approach by coupling a top-down computable general equilibrium model with a bottom-up energy sector TIMES model. The study finds that electricity prices in China would be 20 percent lower than the country is likely to experience in 2020 if the country follows the market principle to expand and operate the power system. The price reduction would spill over throughout the economy, resulting in an increase in the gross domestic product of more than one percent (or more than a billion US dollars) in 2020. It would also have positive impacts on most economic indicators, including household income and international trade. The findings quantitatively highlight the importance of implementing the 2015 power sector reforms in China and further expanding the initiatives in the future. © 2021
关键词ChinaComputable general equilibrium modelingMacroeconomic impactsPower sector planningPower sector reforms
英文关键词Economic analysis; Economic and social effects; Hazardous materials spills; China; Computable general equilibrium model; Economic growths; Hybrid modelling; Macroeconomic impact; Market-oriented reforms; Power; Power sector; Power sector planning; Power sector reform; International trade
语种英语
来源期刊Energy Policy
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205372
作者单位Development Research Group, World Bank, United States; School of Environment and Natural Resources, Renmin University, Beijing, China; China University of Petroleum, Beijing, Beijing, China
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GB/T 7714
Timilsina G.R.,Pang J.,Yang X.. Macroeconomic impacts of power sector reforms in China[J],2021,157.
APA Timilsina G.R.,Pang J.,&Yang X..(2021).Macroeconomic impacts of power sector reforms in China.Energy Policy,157.
MLA Timilsina G.R.,et al."Macroeconomic impacts of power sector reforms in China".Energy Policy 157(2021).
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