气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The effect of group decisions in heat transitions: An agent-based approach

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112306
	The effect of group decisions in heat transitions: An agent-based approach
	Nava-Guerrero G.-D.-C.; Hansen H.H.; Korevaar G.; Lukszo Z.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	03014215
卷号	156
英文摘要	The Netherlands aims at reducing natural gas consumption for heating in the housing sector. Although homeowners are responsible for replacing their heating systems and improving dwelling insulation, they are not always able to make individual decisions. Some projects require group decisions within and between buildings. We use an agent-based modelling and simulation approach to explore how these individual and group decisions would influence natural gas consumption and heating costs in an illustrative neighbourhood, under a set of assumptions. We model individual household preferences over combinations of insulation and heating systems as a lifetime cost calculation with implicit discount rates, and we use quorum constraints to represent group decisions. We model three fiscal policies and a policy to disconnect all dwellings from the natural gas network. Results show that the disconnection policy was the only necessary and sufficient condition to incentivize households to replace their heating systems and that group decisions influenced the alternatives that were chosen. Since results were influenced by group decisions within buildings and by the market discount rate, we recommend further research regarding policies around these topics. Future work can apply our approach to case studies, incorporate new empirical knowledge, and explore group decisions in other contexts. © 2021 The Author(s)
关键词	Group decision-making Homeowner associations (HOA)Implicit discount rate (IDR)Quorum constraints Strata buildings Technology adoption
英文关键词	Autonomous agents; Computational methods; Decision making; Heating; Heating equipment; Housing; Discount rates; Group decision; Group Decision Making; Heating system; Homeowner association; Implicit discount rate; Natural gas consumption; Quorum constraint; Stratum building; Technology adoption; Natural gas; building; decision making; electricity generation; electricity supply; energy policy; household energy; innovation; technology adoption; Netherlands
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205271
作者单位	Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Jaffalaan 5, 2628, Delft, BX, Netherlands; Bernoulli Institute for Mathematics, Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, FSE, University of Groningen, Nijenborgh 9, Groningen, AG 9747, Netherlands
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Nava-Guerrero G.-D.-C.,Hansen H.H.,Korevaar G.,et al. The effect of group decisions in heat transitions: An agent-based approach[J],2021,156.
APA	Nava-Guerrero G.-D.-C.,Hansen H.H.,Korevaar G.,&Lukszo Z..(2021).The effect of group decisions in heat transitions: An agent-based approach.Energy Policy,156.
MLA	Nava-Guerrero G.-D.-C.,et al."The effect of group decisions in heat transitions: An agent-based approach".Energy Policy 156(2021).