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| DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112423 |
| The multi-level economic impacts of deep decarbonization strategies for the energy system | |
| Le Treut G.; Lefèvre J.; Lallana F.; Bravo G. | |
| 发表日期 | 2021 |
| ISSN | 03014215 |
| 卷号 | 156 |
| 英文摘要 | To cap global warming below 2◦C, countries are urged to upscale their climate commitments and develop national deep decarbonization (DD) strategies for the energy system. But, fast and deep transformations will have wide-ranging economic implications at the macroeconomic level, in energy industries, and also in other sectors. Such impacts need to be understood by policy-makers. This paper develops an original integrated approach based on loading consolidated energy pathways into a multi-sector economy-wide model to assess within a consistent framework the multi-level economic impacts of the DD strategies. The method is applied to Argentina and gives representative insights into the global challenge to move towards a low-carbon economy. Our results show key multi-level impacts of shifting from a ‘reference’ to a DD pathway by 2050. In energy industries, value-added and employment shift from fossil fuel to low-carbon power industries. Aggregated GDP and welfare impacts are limited but incremental investments are significant at the macroeconomic level, with indirect and induced impacts across the economy. It includes net job creations in upstream industries that supply low-carbon infrastructures, but also risks of job losses in exposed sectors. Eventually, our approach highlights enabling conditions and possible block points to lift to trigger the transition. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd |
| 关键词 | ArgentinaDeep decarbonizationEconomic impactsEnergy systemHybrid energy-economy modelPolicy insights |
| 英文关键词 | Carbon; Economic and social effects; Employment; Fossil fuels; Global warming; Investments; Renewable energy resources; Argentina; Decarbonisation; Deep decarbonization; Economic impacts; Energy industry; Energy systems; Hybrid energy-economy model; Low carbon; Multilevels; Policy insight; Decarbonization; economic impact; employment; environmental economics; fossil fuel; Gross Domestic Product; macroeconomics; policy making; risk assessment; strategic approach; welfare economics; welfare impact; Argentina |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 来源期刊 | Energy Policy
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205205 |
| 作者单位 | CIRED - Centre International de Recherche sur L'Environnement et le Développement, 45 Bis, Avenue de La Belle Gabrielle, Nogent-sur-Marne CEDEX, 94736, France; Université Paris-Est, Ecole des Ponts ParisTech. Marne-la-Vallée, France; AgroParisTech, 16 Rue Claude Bernard, Paris, 75231, France; Fundación Bariloche, Bariloche, Argentina |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Le Treut G.,Lefèvre J.,Lallana F.,et al. The multi-level economic impacts of deep decarbonization strategies for the energy system[J],2021,156. |
| APA | Le Treut G.,Lefèvre J.,Lallana F.,&Bravo G..(2021).The multi-level economic impacts of deep decarbonization strategies for the energy system.Energy Policy,156. |
| MLA | Le Treut G.,et al."The multi-level economic impacts of deep decarbonization strategies for the energy system".Energy Policy 156(2021). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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