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DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112118
US partisan conflict uncertainty and oil prices
Apergis N.; Hayat T.; Saeed T.
发表日期2021
ISSN03014215
卷号150
英文摘要This empirical study significantly contributes in building emerging literature by investigating the impact of US partisan conflict uncertainty on international oil prices. It models oil prices through non-linear Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag (QARDL) methods in order to consider potential (non-linear) asymmetric effects of partisan political uncertainty on oil prices. The empirical results clearly document the asymmetric (non-linear) impact of partisan conflict uncertainty on international oil prices, which has been in contrast to the linear case. The findings also expose that the transmission mechanism of partisan political uncertainty to oil prices is validated through the economic growth channel. The empirical findings contribute to existing research by assisting investors in the oil industry with risk identification, analysis, and mitigation. The results can assist in discovering the links between US political risk and oil markets, determining an important element of political risk factors facing investors who want to participate in the oil industry. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
关键词Oil pricesQuantile ARDLUS partisan Conflict
英文关键词Costs; Economics; Petroleum industry; Risk assessment; Asymmetric effects; Auto-regressive; Economic growths; Empirical findings; Empirical studies; Political risks; Risk Identification; Transmission mechanisms; Crude oil price; conflict management; economic growth; empirical analysis; numerical method; oil supply; political economy; price dynamics; uncertainty analysis; United States
语种英语
来源期刊Energy Policy
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/204994
作者单位University of Derby, United Kingdom; King Abdulaziz, University, Saudi Arabia; Quaid-I-Azam University, Pakistan
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Apergis N.,Hayat T.,Saeed T.. US partisan conflict uncertainty and oil prices[J],2021,150.
APA Apergis N.,Hayat T.,&Saeed T..(2021).US partisan conflict uncertainty and oil prices.Energy Policy,150.
MLA Apergis N.,et al."US partisan conflict uncertainty and oil prices".Energy Policy 150(2021).
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