气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111681
	Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate
	Tu Q.; Mo J.; Betz R.; Cui L.; Fan Y.; Liu Y.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	03014215
卷号	144
英文摘要	Achieving grid parity of solar photovoltaic (PV) power in China has great implication for the future energy system transformation. In this work whether and when, and under what conditions the grid parity can be achieved are assessed, and especially the role of Tradable Green Certificate (TGC) policy in achieving the grid parity is explored. We first estimate the future levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of solar PV power using learning curve method, and then by comparing it with on-grid price of coal-fired power, the grid parity of solar PV power is determined. Specifically, using a panel dataset consisting of information of 541 solar PV power projects over the period of 2010–2016, the learning rate of PV power is estimated, based on which the future LCOEs are estimated. The results show that the LCOE of PV power decreases from 0.4631 CNY/kWh in 2018 to 0.3345 CNY/kWh in 2030 under the baseline scenario of the cumulative installed capacity, and the grid-parity of solar PV power may be achieved between 2023 and 2025. With the TGC policy being implemented, the grid parity can be achieved earlier. Specifically, with the TGCs price reaching 100 CNY, the grid parity can be achieved in 2020. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	China Grid parity Solar PV power Tradable Green Certificate (TGC)
英文关键词	Electric power transmission networks; Photovoltaic cells; Solar energy; Coal-fired power; Future energies; Installed capacity; Learning curves; Levelized cost of electricities; Power projects; Solar photovoltaic power; Tradable green certificates; Solar power generation; certification; coal-fired power plant; data set; electricity supply; energy policy; panel data; photovoltaic system; solar power; China
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/204894
作者单位	School of Finance, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin, 300222, China; Center for Energy & Environmental Policy Research, Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China; Center for Energy and the Environment, School of Management and Law, Zurich University of Applied Sciences, Winterthur, 8400, Switzerland; School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, 233030, China; School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China; School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tu Q.,Mo J.,Betz R.,et al. Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate[J],2020,144.
APA	Tu Q.,Mo J.,Betz R.,Cui L.,Fan Y.,&Liu Y..(2020).Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate.Energy Policy,144.
MLA	Tu Q.,et al."Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate".Energy Policy 144(2020).