气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia

CCPortal

DOI	10.1029/2020JD032874
	Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia
	Li D.; Feng J.; Dosio A.; Qi J.; Xu Z.; Yin B.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	2169897X
卷号	125 期号:15
英文摘要	Countries in East Asia have set ambitious goals for the development of wind energy to meet the increasing energy demand and to mitigate anthropogenic climate change. However, few studies have investigated changes in wind energy over East Asia under future climatic conditions. In this study, we investigate future changes of 100-m wind speed and wind energy potential over the CORDEX-East Asia region under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario, by using ensemble simulations from the regional climate model Consortium for small-scale modeling in CLimate Mode (CCLM). A multivariate bias adjustment method based on the N-dimensional probability density function transform is used to correct raw simulated horizontal wind components. The comparison between future climate (2021–2050 and 2070–2099) and the present climate (1971–2000) shows decreases in wind speed, wind power density, and wind energy output over most of the CORDEX-East Asia region, especially in the tropics. Projected increases are pronounced over the Himalayan regions, the Indo-China Peninsula, the South China Sea, and the western Pacific Ocean in summer and over northeastern China, parts of Western China and the Indo-China Peninsula in winter. Interannual and intra-annual variability of wind power density are projected to intensify significantly for most of the CORDEX-East Asia region. The occurrence of weak wind speeds (<3 m/s) is projected to increase, while strong wind speeds (>11 m/s) are projected to decrease over most of the ocean. © 2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词	bias adjustment; CCLM; climate projection; CORDEX-East Asia; regional climate modeling; wind energy
语种	英语
来源期刊	Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/185864
作者单位	CAS Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao, China; Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology (Qingdao), Qingdao, China; Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao, China; College of Marine and Environmental Sciences, Tianjin University of Science and Technology, Tianjin, China; Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Ispra, Italy; College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li D.,Feng J.,Dosio A.,et al. Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia[J],2020,125(15).
APA	Li D.,Feng J.,Dosio A.,Qi J.,Xu Z.,&Yin B..(2020).Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia.Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,125(15).
MLA	Li D.,et al."Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia".Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 125.15(2020).