气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Participatory modelling for climate change adaptation: the poultry sector in Nigeria

CCPortal

DOI	10.1080/14693062.2021.1891019
	Participatory modelling for climate change adaptation: the poultry sector in Nigeria
	Olabisi L.S.; Osuntade O.; Liverpool-Tasie L.S.O.; Adebiyi J.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1469-3062
起始页码	292
结束页码	316
卷号	21 期号:5
英文摘要	Strategies for agricultural climate change adaptation are needed to ensure that sub-Saharan Africa can continue to feed itself, given its rapidly growing population and the expected impacts of climate change on food production. The poultry sector is an important component of the African food system, but national climate change adaptation plans in many countries fail to take into account the specific contextual challenges faced by poultry producers. We developed a participatory system dynamics modelling tool to involve stakeholders from the poultry sector in Nigeria in analyzing how climate impacts would affect the sector, with the goal of generating insights for state (sub-national) and national scale policy makers. A second goal of the exercise was to facilitate social learning and knowledge sharing on adaptation strategies among the stakeholders. Given the high uncertainty of the conditions surrounding the Nigerian poultry sector, the model's use is primarily as a discussion tool for poultry sector stakeholders, including policy makers, to share concerns and develop adaptation strategies. It served this purpose, as evidenced by the creation of a manual for poultry producers from the exercise. Similar stakeholder engagement efforts can stimulate knowledge sharing around climate change adaptation for problems around which limited data and high uncertainty exist. Key policy insights Participatory system dynamics modelling is shown to be a useful tool for integrating national and community-level priorities for policy and management under climate change in the Nigerian poultry sector. Effective climate change adaptation will require building resilience to large-scale external drivers such as global trade dynamics, which are highly influential in the system. In order to effectively move from planning to implementation, climate change adaptation processes must facilitate social learning and knowledge sharing around the long-term consequences of policy and management choices. © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
英文关键词	Africa; Climate change; climate change policies; complex systems; participatory modelling; poultry
来源期刊	CLIMATE POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/183648
作者单位	Department of Sustainability, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States; Department of Agriculture and Industrial Technology, Babcock University, Ilishan-Remo, Nigeria; Department of Agricultural, Food and Resource Economics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States; Department of Community Sustainability, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States; Department of Food Science and Human Nutrition, Michigan State University, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Olabisi L.S.,Osuntade O.,Liverpool-Tasie L.S.O.,et al. Participatory modelling for climate change adaptation: the poultry sector in Nigeria[J],2021,21(5).
APA	Olabisi L.S.,Osuntade O.,Liverpool-Tasie L.S.O.,&Adebiyi J..(2021).Participatory modelling for climate change adaptation: the poultry sector in Nigeria.CLIMATE POLICY,21(5).
MLA	Olabisi L.S.,et al."Participatory modelling for climate change adaptation: the poultry sector in Nigeria".CLIMATE POLICY 21.5(2021).