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DOI10.1016/j.crm.2021.100312
Managing climate risk in livestock production in South Africa: How might improved tailored forecasting contribute?
Archer E.R.M.; Landman W.A.; Malherbe J.; Maluleke P.; Weepener H.
发表日期2021
ISSN2212-0963
起始页码146
结束页码159
卷号32
英文摘要The 2015–2017 summer rainfall seasons in both South and southern Africa saw drought and heat stress severely impacting the livestock production sector, as well as agriculture more broadly. Although the region has a longstanding operational forecasting system; tailored forecasting, including that designed for the livestock sector, has declined in presence and operational use in recent years. The potential use of such information to enable the livestock sector to better cope with difficult seasons such as those of 2015–17 is clear. A range of promising initiatives attempt to move South Africa (and the broader southern Africa region) in the direction of improved tailored forecasting, integrated, in part, into the operational system. A number of gaps in application remain, however, and the paper concludes with a discussion as to how the field might move forward, particularly in the light of possible increased frequency of drought and heat stress in the future. © 2021 The Author(s)
英文关键词Agriculture; Livestock; Southern Africa; Tailored forecasting
来源期刊Climate Risk Management
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/183104
作者单位Department of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, South Africa; Institute for Soil, Climate and Water, Agricultural Research Council, Pretoria, South Africa
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Archer E.R.M.,Landman W.A.,Malherbe J.,et al. Managing climate risk in livestock production in South Africa: How might improved tailored forecasting contribute?[J],2021,32.
APA Archer E.R.M.,Landman W.A.,Malherbe J.,Maluleke P.,&Weepener H..(2021).Managing climate risk in livestock production in South Africa: How might improved tailored forecasting contribute?.Climate Risk Management,32.
MLA Archer E.R.M.,et al."Managing climate risk in livestock production in South Africa: How might improved tailored forecasting contribute?".Climate Risk Management 32(2021).
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