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DOI | 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100312 |
Managing climate risk in livestock production in South Africa: How might improved tailored forecasting contribute? | |
Archer E.R.M.; Landman W.A.; Malherbe J.; Maluleke P.; Weepener H. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 2212-0963 |
起始页码 | 146 |
结束页码 | 159 |
卷号 | 32 |
英文摘要 | The 2015–2017 summer rainfall seasons in both South and southern Africa saw drought and heat stress severely impacting the livestock production sector, as well as agriculture more broadly. Although the region has a longstanding operational forecasting system; tailored forecasting, including that designed for the livestock sector, has declined in presence and operational use in recent years. The potential use of such information to enable the livestock sector to better cope with difficult seasons such as those of 2015–17 is clear. A range of promising initiatives attempt to move South Africa (and the broader southern Africa region) in the direction of improved tailored forecasting, integrated, in part, into the operational system. A number of gaps in application remain, however, and the paper concludes with a discussion as to how the field might move forward, particularly in the light of possible increased frequency of drought and heat stress in the future. © 2021 The Author(s) |
英文关键词 | Agriculture; Livestock; Southern Africa; Tailored forecasting |
来源期刊 | Climate Risk Management
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/183104 |
作者单位 | Department of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, South Africa; Institute for Soil, Climate and Water, Agricultural Research Council, Pretoria, South Africa |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Archer E.R.M.,Landman W.A.,Malherbe J.,et al. Managing climate risk in livestock production in South Africa: How might improved tailored forecasting contribute?[J],2021,32. |
APA | Archer E.R.M.,Landman W.A.,Malherbe J.,Maluleke P.,&Weepener H..(2021).Managing climate risk in livestock production in South Africa: How might improved tailored forecasting contribute?.Climate Risk Management,32. |
MLA | Archer E.R.M.,et al."Managing climate risk in livestock production in South Africa: How might improved tailored forecasting contribute?".Climate Risk Management 32(2021). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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