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DOI10.1073/pnas.2026322118
Vaccinating the oldest against COVID-19 saves both the most lives and most years of life
Goldstein J.R.; Cassidy T.; Wachter K.W.
发表日期2021
ISSN00278424
卷号118期号:11
英文摘要Many competing criteria are under consideration for prioritizing COVID-19 vaccination. Two criteria based on age are demographic: lives saved and years of future life saved. Vaccinating the very old against COVID-19 saves the most lives, but, since older age is accompanied by falling life expectancy, it is widely supposed that these two goals are in conflict. We show this to be mistaken. The age patterns of COVID-19 mortality are such that vaccinating the oldest first saves the most lives and, surprisingly, also maximizes years of remaining life expectancy. We demonstrate this relationship empirically in the United States, Germany, and South Korea and with mathematical analysis of life tables. Our age-risk results, under usual conditions, also apply to health risks. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词Age; COVID-19; Demography; Vaccine; Years of life lost
语种英语
scopus关键词administration and dosage; age; aged; biological model; female; human; life expectancy; male; mortality; prevention and control; risk factor; vaccination; very elderly; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; COVID-19; COVID-19 Vaccines; Female; Humans; Life Expectancy; Male; Models, Biological; Risk Factors; SARS-CoV-2; Vaccination
来源期刊Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/180304
作者单位Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States; Department of Mathematics, Bucknell University, Lewisburg, PA 17837, United States
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Goldstein J.R.,Cassidy T.,Wachter K.W.. Vaccinating the oldest against COVID-19 saves both the most lives and most years of life[J],2021,118(11).
APA Goldstein J.R.,Cassidy T.,&Wachter K.W..(2021).Vaccinating the oldest against COVID-19 saves both the most lives and most years of life.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(11).
MLA Goldstein J.R.,et al."Vaccinating the oldest against COVID-19 saves both the most lives and most years of life".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.11(2021).
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