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| DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2003374118 |
| The effect of information about climate risk on property values | |
| Hino M.; Burke M. | |
| 发表日期 | 2021 |
| ISSN | 00278424 |
| 卷号 | 118期号:17 |
| 英文摘要 | Floods and other climate hazards pose a widespread and growing threat to housing and infrastructure around the world. By reflecting climate risk in prices, markets can discourage excessive development in hazardous areas. However, the extent to which markets price these risks remains poorly understood. Here we measure the effect of information about flood risk contained in regulatory floodplain maps on residential property values in the United States. Using multiple empirical approaches and two decades of sales data covering the universe of homes in the United States, we find little evidence that housing markets fully price information about flood risk in aggregate. However, the price penalty is larger for commercial buyers and in markets where buyers are more risk aware, suggesting that policies to improve risk communication could influence market outcomes. Our findings indicate that houses in flood zones in the United States are currently overvalued by a total of $43.8 billion (95% confidence interval: $32.6 to $55.6 billion) based on the information in publicly available flood hazard maps alone, raising concerns about the stability of real estate markets as climate risks become more salient and severe. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. |
| 英文关键词 | Climate change; Flood risk; Real estate |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| scopus关键词 | article; climate change; cosmos; floodplain; price; punishment; real estate market; United States |
| 来源期刊 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
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| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/179746 |
| 作者单位 | Emmett Interdisciplinary Program in Environment and Resources, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; Department of City and Regional Planning, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, United States; Environment, Ecology, and Energy Program, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, United States; Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138, United States |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hino M.,Burke M.. The effect of information about climate risk on property values[J],2021,118(17). |
| APA | Hino M.,&Burke M..(2021).The effect of information about climate risk on property values.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(17). |
| MLA | Hino M.,et al."The effect of information about climate risk on property values".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.17(2021). |
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