气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Potential of pan-european seasonal hydrometeorological drought forecasts obtained from a multihazard early warning system

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DOI	10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0196.1
	Potential of pan-european seasonal hydrometeorological drought forecasts obtained from a multihazard early warning system
	Sutanto S.J.; Van Lanen H.A.J.; Wetterhall F.; Llort X.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	00030007
起始页码	E368
结束页码	E393
卷号	101 期号:4
英文摘要	Drought early warning systems (DEWS) have been developed in several countries in response to high socioeconomic losses caused by droughts. In Europe, the European Drought Observatory (EDO) monitors the ongoing drought and forecasts soil moisture anomalies up to 7 days ahead and meteorological drought up to 3 months ahead. However, end users managing water resources often require hydrological drought warning several months in advance. To answer this challenge, a seasonal pan-European DEWS has been developed and has been running in a preoperational mode since mid-2018 under the EU-funded Enhancing Emergency Management and Response to Extreme Weather and Climate Events (ANYWHERE) project. The ANYWHERE DEWS (AD-EWS) is different than other operational DEWS in the sense that the AD-EWS provides a wide range of seasonal hydrometeorological drought forecasting products in addition to meteorological drought, that is, a broad suite of drought indices that covers all water cycle components (drought in precipitation, soil moisture, runoff, discharge, and groundwater). The ability of the AD-EWS to provide seasonal drought predictions in high spatial resolution (5 km × 5 km) and its diverse products mark the AD-EWS as a preoperational drought forecasting system that can serve a broad range of different users' needs in Europe. This paper introduces the AD-EWS and shows some examples of different drought forecasting products, the drought forecast score, and some examples of a user-driven assessment of forecast trust levels. ©2020 American Meteorological Society.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Drought; Extreme weather; Groundwater; Risk management; Soil moisture; Water resources; Early Warning System; Emergency management; Forecasting system; High spatial resolution; Hydrological droughts; Meteorological drought; Seasonal droughts; Socioeconomic loss; Weather forecasting
来源期刊	Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/177906
作者单位	Hydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, Netherlands; European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom; Hydrometeorological Innovative Solutions, Barcelona, Spain
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sutanto S.J.,Van Lanen H.A.J.,Wetterhall F.,et al. Potential of pan-european seasonal hydrometeorological drought forecasts obtained from a multihazard early warning system[J],2020,101(4).
APA	Sutanto S.J.,Van Lanen H.A.J.,Wetterhall F.,&Llort X..(2020).Potential of pan-european seasonal hydrometeorological drought forecasts obtained from a multihazard early warning system.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,101(4).
MLA	Sutanto S.J.,et al."Potential of pan-european seasonal hydrometeorological drought forecasts obtained from a multihazard early warning system".Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 101.4(2020).