气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessing the quality of regional climate information

CCPortal

DOI	10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0008.1
	Assessing the quality of regional climate information
	Pacchetti M.B.; Dessai S.; Bradley S.; Stainforth D.A.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	00030007
起始页码	E476
结束页码	E491
卷号	102 期号:3
英文摘要	There are now a plethora of data, models, and approaches available to produce regional and local climate information intended to inform adaptation to a changing climate. There is, however, no framework to assess the quality of these data, models, and approaches that takes into account the issues that arise when this information is produced. An evaluation of the quality of regional climate information is a fundamental requirement for its appropriate application in societal decision-making. Here, an analytical framework is constructed for the quality assessment of science-based statements and estimates about future climate. This framework targets statements that project local and regional climate at decadal and longer time scales. After identifying the main issues with evaluating and presenting regional climate information, it is argued that it is helpful to consider the quality of statements about future climate in terms of 1) the type of evidence and 2) the relationship between the evidence and the statement. This distinction not only provides a more targeted framework for quality, but also shows how certain evidential standards can change as a function of the statement under consideration. The key dimensions to assess regional climate information quality are diversity, completeness, theory, adequacy for purpose, and transparency. This framework is exemplified using two research papers that provide regional climate information and the implications of the framework are explored. © 2021 American Meteorological Society.
英文关键词	Adaptation; Climate models; General circulation models; Probability forecasts/ models/distribution; Regional effects; Social science
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Decision making; Formal logic; Changing climate; Future climate; Key dimensions; Local climate; Quality assessment; Regional climate; Research papers; Time-scales; Climate models
来源期刊	Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/177693
作者单位	School of Earth and Environment, ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; School of Philosophy, Religion and History of Science, ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; Centre for the Analysis of Time Series, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, United Kingdom; Department of Physics, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pacchetti M.B.,Dessai S.,Bradley S.,et al. Assessing the quality of regional climate information[J],2021,102(3).
APA	Pacchetti M.B.,Dessai S.,Bradley S.,&Stainforth D.A..(2021).Assessing the quality of regional climate information.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,102(3).
MLA	Pacchetti M.B.,et al."Assessing the quality of regional climate information".Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 102.3(2021).