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DOI	10.1016/j.energy.2020.118832
	The trade-off between demand growth and renewables: A multiperiod electricity planning model under CO2 emission constraints
	Rego E.E.; Costa O.L.V.; Ribeiro C.D.O.; Lima Filho R.I.D.R.; Takada H.; Stern J.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	3605442
卷号	213
英文摘要	Under the Paris Agreement, each participant country established its Nationally Determined Contribution aiming at reducing its CO2 emissions. This makes the trade-off between the electricity capacity expansion planning to meet the increase of demand and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions a challenge, specially for developing countries, which require a higher rate of economic growth. To consider this trade-off, and identify the feasibility of the targets of the electricity expansion planning, a multiperiod optimization model is proposed considering the seasonality of supply and demand and the peak period demand. The goal is to minimize the total cost, satisfying demand constraints, the maximum CO2 emission constraints and the power expansion supply restrictions for each source. An analysis of the Brazilian electricity matrix for the years 2020–2033 is performed considering two scenarios for the growth of the demand and two scenarios for the CO2 target emissions The numerical simulations indicate that the present Brazilian electricity expansion planning seems adequate to meet the Nationally Determined Contribution only under a mild economic growth rate scenario. A higher economic growth rate would require a stronger economic policy related to the power expansions of the renewable sources. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	CO2 emissions; Electricity matrix; Multiperiod optimization; Renewable power sources
scopus关键词	Carbon dioxide; Developing countries; Economic and social effects; Economics; Expansion; Gas emissions; Greenhouse gases; Capacity expansion planning; Economic growth rate; Economic growths; Economic policies; Expansion planning; Optimization modeling; Renewable sources; Supply and demand; Growth rate; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; demand analysis; economic growth; energy planning; environmental economics; growth rate; spatiotemporal analysis; trade-off; France; Ile de France; Paris; Ville de Paris
来源期刊	Energy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176721
作者单位	Department of Production Engineering, EPUSP - Polytechnic School of the University of São PauloSP, Brazil; Department of Telecommunications and Control Engineering, EPUSPSP, Brazil; Department of Industrial Engineering, Federal University of Rio de JaneiroRJ, Brazil; Institute of Mathematics and Statistics, University of São PauloSP, Brazil
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rego E.E.,Costa O.L.V.,Ribeiro C.D.O.,et al. The trade-off between demand growth and renewables: A multiperiod electricity planning model under CO2 emission constraints[J],2020,213.
APA	Rego E.E.,Costa O.L.V.,Ribeiro C.D.O.,Lima Filho R.I.D.R.,Takada H.,&Stern J..(2020).The trade-off between demand growth and renewables: A multiperiod electricity planning model under CO2 emission constraints.Energy,213.
MLA	Rego E.E.,et al."The trade-off between demand growth and renewables: A multiperiod electricity planning model under CO2 emission constraints".Energy 213(2020).