气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Coordinated development of thermal power generation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: Evidence from decomposition and scenario analysis for carbon dioxide emission

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.05.256
	Coordinated development of thermal power generation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: Evidence from decomposition and scenario analysis for carbon dioxide emission
	Yan Q.; Wang Y.; Li Z.; Baležentis T.; Streimikiene D.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	9596526
起始页码	1402
结束页码	1417
卷号	232
英文摘要	Even though renewable energy development has gained momentum in China, thermal power generation still accounts for approximately 70% of the county's total power generation serving as the major source of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in China. Facing the challenges of meeting 2030 peak target of CO2 emission and realizing the coordinated development of thermal power generation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, this paper applies generalized Divisia Index Method (GDIM) to decompose the dynamics in the relevant CO2 emission. The effects of five factors including electricity demand, energy consumption, technology, energy efficiency and energy-mix are considered. The decomposition suggests that electricity demand is the primary factor driving the CO2 emission up, whereas technology effect decreases CO2 emission the most. Given the significant roles of technology, energy-mix and energy efficiency in CO2 emissions reduction, seven scenarios are designed to identify the optimal coordinated development pathway for thermal power generation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Through upgrading energy structure and/or enhancing energy efficiency, the thermal power generation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region can achieve coordinated development and realize the 2030 peak target under four scenarios. The detailed development pathways for CO2 emissions and specific policy implications for Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are provided to further govern CO2 emissions and maintain sustainable development. Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region; Carbon dioxide decomposition; Generalized divisia index; Scenario analysis; Thermal power generation
scopus关键词	Carbon dioxide; Electric power utilization; Emission control; Energy utilization; Global warming; Public policy; Renewable energy resources; Sustainable development; Beijing-tianjin-hebei regions; Carbon dioxide emissions; Divisia index; Divisia index method; Policy implications; Renewable energy development; Scenario analysis; Thermal power generation; Energy efficiency
来源期刊	Journal of Cleaner Production
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176344
作者单位	School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China; Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, Illinois Institute of Technology, Chicago, United States; Lithuanian Institute of Agrarian Economics, Vilnius, Lithuania
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yan Q.,Wang Y.,Li Z.,et al. Coordinated development of thermal power generation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: Evidence from decomposition and scenario analysis for carbon dioxide emission[J],2019,232.
APA	Yan Q.,Wang Y.,Li Z.,Baležentis T.,&Streimikiene D..(2019).Coordinated development of thermal power generation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: Evidence from decomposition and scenario analysis for carbon dioxide emission.Journal of Cleaner Production,232.
MLA	Yan Q.,et al."Coordinated development of thermal power generation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: Evidence from decomposition and scenario analysis for carbon dioxide emission".Journal of Cleaner Production 232(2019).