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DOI10.1038/s41598-018-26038-8
East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia
Zhang, Huan; Werner, Johannes P.; Garcia-Bustamante, Elena; Gonzalez-Rouco, Fidel; Wagner, Sebastian; Zorita, Eduardo; Fraedrich, Klaus; Jungclaus, Johann H.; Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier; Zhu, Xiuhua; Xoplaki, Elena; Chen, Fahu; Duan, Jianping; Ge, Quansheng; Hao, Zhixin; Ivanov, Martin; Schneider, Lea; Talento, Stefanie; Wang, Jianglin; Yang, Bao; Luterbacher, Juerg
发表日期2018
ISSN2045-2322
卷号8
英文摘要

East Asia has experienced strong warming since the 1960s accompanied by an increased frequency of heat waves and shrinking glaciers over the Tibetan Plateau and the Tien Shan. Here, we place the recent warmth in a long-term perspective by presenting a new spatially resolved warm-season (May-September) temperature reconstruction for the period 1-2000 CE using 59 multiproxy records from a wide range of East Asian regions. Our Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM) based reconstructions generally agree with earlier shorter regional temperature reconstructions but are more stable due to additional temperature sensitive proxies. We find a rather warm period during the first two centuries CE, followed by a multi-century long cooling period and again a warm interval covering the 900-1200 CE period (Medieval Climate Anomaly, MCA). The interval from 1450 to 1850 CE (Little Ice Age, LIA) was characterized by cooler conditions and the last 150 years are characterized by a continuous warming until recent times. Our results also suggest that the 1990s were likely the warmest decade in at least 1200 years. The comparison between an ensemble of climate model simulations and our summer reconstructions since 850 CE shows good agreement and an important role of internal variability and external forcing on multi-decadal time-scales.


语种英语
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000432275800001
来源期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
来源机构兰州大学 ; 中国科学院青藏高原研究所
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/1732
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Huan,Werner, Johannes P.,Garcia-Bustamante, Elena,et al. East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia[J]. 兰州大学, 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2018,8.
APA Zhang, Huan.,Werner, Johannes P..,Garcia-Bustamante, Elena.,Gonzalez-Rouco, Fidel.,Wagner, Sebastian.,...&Luterbacher, Juerg.(2018).East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8.
MLA Zhang, Huan,et al."East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018).
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