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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-020-0753-9 |
Synchronized tropical Pacific and extratropical variability during the past three decades | |
Yang J.-C.; Lin X.; Xie S.-P.; Zhang Y.; Kosaka Y.; Li Z. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
起始页码 | 422 |
结束页码 | 427 |
卷号 | 10期号:5 |
英文摘要 | Internally generated decadal variability influences global mean surface temperature (GMST), inducing acceleration and slowdown of the warming rate under anthropogenic radiative forcing1–4. While tropical eastern Pacific variability is important for annual-mean GMST2,5–8, the cold ocean–warm land (COWL) pattern9,10 also contributes to continental temperature variability11–13 in the boreal cold season. Although the two contributors are physically independent10,12, here we show that, after the mid-1980s, their decadal components vary in phase by chance to strengthen internal GMST trends, contributing to the early 2000s slowdown and early 2010s acceleration. The synchronized tropical Pacific and COWL variability explains the striking seasonality of the recent slowdown and acceleration during which the GMST trend in the boreal cold season is markedly negative and positive, respectively. Climate models cannot simulate the exact timing of the tropical Pacific and COWL correlations because they are physically independent, random-phased modes of internal variability. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
英文关键词 | anthropogenic effect; climate modeling; paleoclimate; seasonal variation; seasonality; surface temperature; Pacific Ocean; Pacific Ocean (Tropical) |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171684 |
作者单位 | Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System and Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China; Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao, China; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang J.-C.,Lin X.,Xie S.-P.,et al. Synchronized tropical Pacific and extratropical variability during the past three decades[J],2020,10(5). |
APA | Yang J.-C.,Lin X.,Xie S.-P.,Zhang Y.,Kosaka Y.,&Li Z..(2020).Synchronized tropical Pacific and extratropical variability during the past three decades.Nature Climate Change,10(5). |
MLA | Yang J.-C.,et al."Synchronized tropical Pacific and extratropical variability during the past three decades".Nature Climate Change 10.5(2020). |
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