气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Plausible energy demand patterns in a growing global economy with climate policy

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00975-7
	Plausible energy demand patterns in a growing global economy with climate policy
	Semieniuk G.; Taylor L.; Rezai A.; Foley D.K.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
英文摘要	Reducing the energy demand has become a key mechanism for limiting climate change, but there are practical limitations associated with large energy savings in a growing global economy and, importantly, its lower-income parts. Using new data on energy and GDP, we show that adopting the same near-term low-energy growth trajectory in all regions in IPCC scenarios limiting global warming to 1.5 °C presents an unresolved policy challenge. We discuss this challenge of combining energy demand reductions with robust income growth for the 6.4 billion people in middle- and low-income countries in light of the reliance of economic development on industrialization. Our results highlight the importance of addressing limits to energy demand reduction in integrated assessment modelling when regional economic development is powered by industrialization and of instead exploring faster energy supply decarbonization. Insights from development economics and other disciplines could help generate plausible assumptions given the financial, investment and stability issues involved. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171596
作者单位	University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA, United States; SOAS University of London, London, United Kingdom; New School for Social Research, New York, NY, United States; Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria; Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (WIIW), Vienna, Austria
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Semieniuk G.,Taylor L.,Rezai A.,et al. Plausible energy demand patterns in a growing global economy with climate policy[J],2021.
APA	Semieniuk G.,Taylor L.,Rezai A.,&Foley D.K..(2021).Plausible energy demand patterns in a growing global economy with climate policy.Nature Climate Change.
MLA	Semieniuk G.,et al."Plausible energy demand patterns in a growing global economy with climate policy".Nature Climate Change (2021).