气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Zonally contrasting shifts of the tropical rain belt in response to climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00963-x
	Zonally contrasting shifts of the tropical rain belt in response to climate change
	Mamalakis A.; Randerson J.T.; Yu J.-Y.; Pritchard M.S.; Magnusdottir G.; Smyth P.; Levine P.A.; Yu S.; Foufoula-Georgiou E.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	143
结束页码	151
卷号	11 期号:2
英文摘要	Future changes in the position of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ; a narrow band of heavy precipitation in the tropics) with climate change could affect the livelihood and food security of billions of people. Although models predict a future narrowing of the ITCZ, uncertainties remain large regarding its future position, with most past work focusing on zonal-mean shifts. Here we use projections from 27 state-of-the-art climate models and document a robust zonally varying ITCZ response to the SSP3-7.0 scenario by 2100, with a northward shift over eastern Africa and the Indian Ocean and a southward shift in the eastern Pacific and Atlantic oceans. The zonally varying response is consistent with changes in the divergent atmospheric energy transport and sector-mean shifts of the energy flux equator. Our analysis provides insight about mechanisms influencing the future position of the tropical rain belt and may allow for more-robust projections of climate change impacts. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171575
作者单位	Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, CA, United States; Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, United States; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, United States; Department of Statistics, University of California, Irvine, CA, United States; Department of Geology and Geophysics, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mamalakis A.,Randerson J.T.,Yu J.-Y.,et al. Zonally contrasting shifts of the tropical rain belt in response to climate change[J],2021,11(2).
APA	Mamalakis A..,Randerson J.T..,Yu J.-Y..,Pritchard M.S..,Magnusdottir G..,...&Foufoula-Georgiou E..(2021).Zonally contrasting shifts of the tropical rain belt in response to climate change.Nature Climate Change,11(2).
MLA	Mamalakis A.,et al."Zonally contrasting shifts of the tropical rain belt in response to climate change".Nature Climate Change 11.2(2021).