气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The time-scale-dependent response of the wintertime North Atlantic to increased ocean model resolution in a coupled forecast model

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DOI	10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0235.1
	The time-scale-dependent response of the wintertime North Atlantic to increased ocean model resolution in a coupled forecast model
	Roberts C.D.; Vitart F.; Balmaseda M.A.; Molteni F.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0894-8755
起始页码	3663
结束页码	3689
卷号	33 期号:9
英文摘要	This study uses initialized forecasts and climate integrations to evaluate the wintertime North Atlantic response to an increase of ocean model resolution from;100 km [low-resolution ocean (LRO)] to;25 km [high-resolution ocean (HRO)] in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecasting System (ECMWF-IFS). Importantly, the simulated impacts are time-scale dependent such that impacts in subseasonal and seasonal forecasts cannot be extrapolated to climate time scales. In general, mean biases are reduced in HRO relative to LRO configurations and the impact is increased at longer lead times. At subseasonal to seasonal lead times, surface heating anomalies over the Gulf Stream are associated with local increases to the poleward heat flux associated with transient atmospheric eddies. In contrast, surface heating anomalies in climate experiments are balanced by changes to the time-mean surface winds that resemble the steady response under linear dynamics. Some aspects of air–sea interaction exhibit a clear improvement with increased resolution at all lead times. However, it is difficult to identify the impact of increased ocean eddy activity in the variability of the overlying atmosphere. In particular, atmospheric blocking and the intensity of the storm track respond more strongly to mean biases and thus have a larger response at longer lead times. Finally, increased ocean resolution drives improvements to subseasonal predictability over Europe. This increase in skill seems to be a result of improvements to the Madden–Julian oscillation and its associated teleconnections rather than changes to air–sea interaction in the North Atlantic region. © 2020 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy
英文关键词	Climate models; Heat flux; Ocean currents; Time measurement; Atmospheric blocking; Atmospheric eddy; European centre for medium-range weather forecasts; High resolution; Integrated forecasting systems; Seasonal forecasts; Surface heating; Teleconnections; Weather forecasting; air-sea interaction; eddy; heat flux; heating; Madden-Julian oscillation; surface wind; timescale; weather forecasting; winter; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North); Gulf Stream
语种	英语
来源期刊	Journal of Climate
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171345
作者单位	European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Roberts C.D.,Vitart F.,Balmaseda M.A.,et al. The time-scale-dependent response of the wintertime North Atlantic to increased ocean model resolution in a coupled forecast model[J],2020,33(9).
APA	Roberts C.D.,Vitart F.,Balmaseda M.A.,&Molteni F..(2020).The time-scale-dependent response of the wintertime North Atlantic to increased ocean model resolution in a coupled forecast model.Journal of Climate,33(9).
MLA	Roberts C.D.,et al."The time-scale-dependent response of the wintertime North Atlantic to increased ocean model resolution in a coupled forecast model".Journal of Climate 33.9(2020).