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DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0032.1 |
Seasonal dependency of tropical precipitation change under global warming | |
Geng Y.-F.; Xie S.-P.; Zheng X.-T.; Wang C.-Y. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
起始页码 | 7897 |
结束页码 | 7908 |
卷号 | 33期号:18 |
英文摘要 | Tropical precipitation change under global warming varies with season. The present study investigates the characteristics and cause of the seasonality in rainfall change. Diagnostically, tropical precipitation change is decomposed into thermodynamic and dynamic components. The thermodynamic component represents the wet-get-wetter effect and its seasonality is due mostly to that in the mean vertical velocity, especially in the monsoon regions. The dynamic component includes the warmer-get-wetter effect due to the spatial variations in sea surface temperature (SST) warming, while the seasonality is due to that of the climatological SST and can be largely reproduced by an atmospheric model forced with the monthly climatological SST plus the annual-mean SST warming pattern. In the eastern equatorial Pacific where the SST warming is locally enhanced; for example, rainfall increases only during the March–May season when the climatological SST is high enough for deep convection. To the extent that the seasonality of tropical precipitation change over oceans arises mostly from that of the climatological SST, the results support the notion that reducing model biases in climatology improves regional rainfall projections. © 2020 American Meteorological Society. |
英文关键词 | Global warming; Rain; Surface waters; Tropics; Atmospheric model; Dynamic component; Eastern equatorial Pacific; Mean vertical velocity; Sea surface temperature (SST); Spatial variations; Tropical precipitation; Warming patterns; Oceanography; atmospheric forcing; atmospheric modeling; global warming; precipitation (climatology); rainfall; sea surface temperature; seasonality; spatial variation; thermodynamics; tropical environment; Pacific Ocean; Pacific Ocean (Equatorial) |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Journal of Climate |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171124 |
作者单位 | Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Institute for Advanced Ocean Studies, Ocean University of China, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao, China; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, San diego, CA, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Geng Y.-F.,Xie S.-P.,Zheng X.-T.,et al. Seasonal dependency of tropical precipitation change under global warming[J],2020,33(18). |
APA | Geng Y.-F.,Xie S.-P.,Zheng X.-T.,&Wang C.-Y..(2020).Seasonal dependency of tropical precipitation change under global warming.Journal of Climate,33(18). |
MLA | Geng Y.-F.,et al."Seasonal dependency of tropical precipitation change under global warming".Journal of Climate 33.18(2020). |
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