气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Changes in Extreme Precipitation and Landslides Over High Mountain Asia

CCPortal

DOI	10.1029/2019GL085347
	Changes in Extreme Precipitation and Landslides Over High Mountain Asia
	Kirschbaum D.; Kapnick S.B.; Stanley T.; Pascale S.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0094-8276
卷号	47 期号:4
英文摘要	High Mountain Asia is impacted by extreme monsoonal rainfall that triggers landslides in large proportions relative to global distributions, resulting in substantial human impacts and damage to infrastructure each year. Previous landslide research has qualitatively estimated how patterns in landslide activity may change based on climate change scenarios. We present the first quantitative view of potential modulation in future landslide activity over the High Mountain Asia region leveraging a new landslide hazard model and precipitation data from satellite and Global Climate Model sources. In doing so, we find that the rate of increase in landslide activity at the end of the century is expected to be greatest over areas covered by current glaciers and glacial lakes, potentially exacerbating the impacts of cascading hazards on populations downstream. This work demonstrates the potential of Global Climate Models and satellite-based precipitation estimates to characterize landslide hazards at time scales affected by climate change. © 2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词	Climate models; Hazards; Landforms; Landslides; Precipitation (meteorology); Remote sensing; Climate change scenarios; Extreme precipitation; Global climate model; Global distribution; High mountains; Landslide hazard; Precipitation data; Rate of increase; Climate change; climate change; climate modeling; extreme event; global climate; hazard assessment; human activity; landslide; mountain environment; precipitation (climatology); rainfall; remote sensing; satellite altimetry; trigger mechanism; Asia
语种	英语
来源期刊	Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/170671
作者单位	Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States; NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States; Universities Space Research Association, Columbia, MD, United States; Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kirschbaum D.,Kapnick S.B.,Stanley T.,et al. Changes in Extreme Precipitation and Landslides Over High Mountain Asia[J],2020,47(4).
APA	Kirschbaum D.,Kapnick S.B.,Stanley T.,&Pascale S..(2020).Changes in Extreme Precipitation and Landslides Over High Mountain Asia.Geophysical Research Letters,47(4).
MLA	Kirschbaum D.,et al."Changes in Extreme Precipitation and Landslides Over High Mountain Asia".Geophysical Research Letters 47.4(2020).