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DOI10.1029/2020GL087496
Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6;000-Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean
Kaniewski D.; Marriner N.; Cheddadi R.; Fischer P.M.; Otto T.; Luce F.; Van Campo E.
发表日期2020
ISSN 0094-8276
卷号47期号:7
英文摘要The history of the Eastern Mediterranean is punctuated by major crises that have influenced many of the region's established socioeconomic models. Recent studies have underscored the role of drought and temperature oscillations in driving changes but attempts to quantify their magnitude remain equivocal, hindering long-term assessments of the potential interplay between climate and society. Here, we fill this knowledge gap using a 6,000-year pollen-based reconstruction of temperature and precipitation from Hala Sultan Tekke, Cyprus. We find that major social changes and plague outbreaks often occurred in tandem with cooler climate conditions, with anomalies ranging from −3 ± 0.4 °C to −1 ± 0.5 °C, coupled with changing precipitation patterns. We suggest that major climate changes may weaken societies by affecting primary livelihood systems. This long-term view highlights recurrent cold periods in the Eastern Mediterranean's climate history and advocates that, despite frequent adversity and pandemics, Near Eastern populations adapted and were ultimately resilient to major climate changes. ©2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词Earth sciences; Geophysics; Climate condition; Climate history; Eastern Mediterranean; Knowledge gaps; Precipitation patterns; Social changes; Socio-economic model; Temperature oscillations; Climate change; climate change; climate conditions; climate variation; drought; paleoclimate; precipitation (climatology); reconstruction; Cyprus; Mediterranean Sea; Mediterranean Sea (East); Pandanus tectorius
语种英语
来源期刊Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/170480
作者单位EcoLab, CNRS, INP, UPS, Université de Toulouse, Toulouse cedex 9, France; TRACES, UMR 5608 CNRS, Maison de la Recherche, Université Toulouse Jean Jaurès, Toulouse Cedex 9, France; CNRS, ThéMA, UMR 6049, MSHE Ledoux, Université de Franche-Comté, Besançon Cedex, France; CNRS-UM2-IRD, ISEM, Université Montpellier II, Montpellier, France; Department of Historical Studies, University of Gothenburg, Göteborg, Sweden
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Kaniewski D.,Marriner N.,Cheddadi R.,et al. Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6;000-Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean[J],2020,47(7).
APA Kaniewski D..,Marriner N..,Cheddadi R..,Fischer P.M..,Otto T..,...&Van Campo E..(2020).Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6;000-Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean.Geophysical Research Letters,47(7).
MLA Kaniewski D.,et al."Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6;000-Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean".Geophysical Research Letters 47.7(2020).
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