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DOI10.1029/2019GL086875
Determining the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Intensification of Extreme Precipitation
Paik S.; Min S.-K.; Zhang X.; Donat M.G.; King A.D.; Sun Q.
发表日期2020
ISSN 0094-8276
卷号47期号:12
英文摘要This study conducts a detection and attribution analysis of the observed changes in extreme precipitation during 1951–2015. Observed and CMIP6 multimodel simulated changes in annual maximum daily and consecutive 5-day precipitation are compared using an optimal fingerprinting technique for different spatial scales from global land, Northern Hemisphere extratropics, tropics, three continental regions (North America and western and eastern Eurasia), and global “dry” and “wet” land areas (as defined by their average extreme precipitation intensities). Results indicate that anthropogenic greenhouse gas influence is robustly detected in the observed intensification of extreme precipitation over the global land and most of the subregions considered, all with clear separation from natural and anthropogenic aerosol forcings. Also, the human-induced greenhouse gas increases are found to be a dominant contributor to the observed increase in extreme precipitation intensity, which largely follows the increased moisture availability under global warming. ©2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词Global warming; Greenhouse gases; Precipitation (meteorology); Annual maxima; Anthropogenic aerosols; Detection and attributions; Extreme precipitation; Greenhouse gas contributions; Northern Hemispheres; Optimal fingerprinting technique; Spatial scale; Precipitation (chemical); aerosol; anthropogenic effect; global warming; greenhouse gas; Northern Hemisphere; precipitation (climatology); precipitation intensity; spatiotemporal analysis; Eurasia; North America
语种英语
来源期刊Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/170225
作者单位Division of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang, South Korea; Institute for Convergence Research and Education in Advanced Technology, Yonsei University, Incheon, South Korea; Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain; School of Earth Sciences and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
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Paik S.,Min S.-K.,Zhang X.,et al. Determining the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Intensification of Extreme Precipitation[J],2020,47(12).
APA Paik S.,Min S.-K.,Zhang X.,Donat M.G.,King A.D.,&Sun Q..(2020).Determining the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Intensification of Extreme Precipitation.Geophysical Research Letters,47(12).
MLA Paik S.,et al."Determining the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Intensification of Extreme Precipitation".Geophysical Research Letters 47.12(2020).
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