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DOI10.1029/2020GL089964
The Global-Mean Precipitation Response to CO2-Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models
Pendergrass A.G.
发表日期2020
ISSN 0094-8276
卷号47期号:17
英文摘要We examine the response of globally averaged precipitation to global warming—the hydrologic sensitivity (HS)—in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) multi-model ensemble. Multi-model mean HS is 2.5% K−1 (ranging from 2.1–3.1% K−1 across models), a modest decrease compared to CMIP5 (where it was 2.6% K−1). This new set of simulations is used as an out-of-sample test for observational constraints on HS proposed based on CMIP5. The constraint based on clear-sky shortwave absorption sensitivity to water vapor has weakened, and it is argued that a proposed constraint based on surface low cloud longwave radiative effects does not apply to HS. Finally, while a previously proposed mechanism connecting HS and climate sensitivity via low clouds is present in the CMIP6 ensemble, it is not an important factor for variations in HS. This explains why HS is uncorrelated with climate sensitivity across the CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles. ©2020. The Authors.
英文关键词Climate models; Global warming; Water absorption; Absorption sensitivity; Climate sensitivity; Constraint-based; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Mean precipitation; Multi model; Multi-model ensemble; Radiative effects; Sensitivity analysis; carbon dioxide; climate modeling; CMIP; ensemble forecasting; longwave radiation; precipitation (climatology); water vapor
语种英语
来源期刊Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/169849
作者单位National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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Pendergrass A.G.. The Global-Mean Precipitation Response to CO2-Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models[J],2020,47(17).
APA Pendergrass A.G..(2020).The Global-Mean Precipitation Response to CO2-Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models.Geophysical Research Letters,47(17).
MLA Pendergrass A.G.."The Global-Mean Precipitation Response to CO2-Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models".Geophysical Research Letters 47.17(2020).
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