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DOI | 10.1029/2020GL089964 |
The Global-Mean Precipitation Response to CO2-Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models | |
Pendergrass A.G. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
卷号 | 47期号:17 |
英文摘要 | We examine the response of globally averaged precipitation to global warming—the hydrologic sensitivity (HS)—in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) multi-model ensemble. Multi-model mean HS is 2.5% K−1 (ranging from 2.1–3.1% K−1 across models), a modest decrease compared to CMIP5 (where it was 2.6% K−1). This new set of simulations is used as an out-of-sample test for observational constraints on HS proposed based on CMIP5. The constraint based on clear-sky shortwave absorption sensitivity to water vapor has weakened, and it is argued that a proposed constraint based on surface low cloud longwave radiative effects does not apply to HS. Finally, while a previously proposed mechanism connecting HS and climate sensitivity via low clouds is present in the CMIP6 ensemble, it is not an important factor for variations in HS. This explains why HS is uncorrelated with climate sensitivity across the CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles. ©2020. The Authors. |
英文关键词 | Climate models; Global warming; Water absorption; Absorption sensitivity; Climate sensitivity; Constraint-based; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Mean precipitation; Multi model; Multi-model ensemble; Radiative effects; Sensitivity analysis; carbon dioxide; climate modeling; CMIP; ensemble forecasting; longwave radiation; precipitation (climatology); water vapor |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/169849 |
作者单位 | National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pendergrass A.G.. The Global-Mean Precipitation Response to CO2-Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models[J],2020,47(17). |
APA | Pendergrass A.G..(2020).The Global-Mean Precipitation Response to CO2-Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models.Geophysical Research Letters,47(17). |
MLA | Pendergrass A.G.."The Global-Mean Precipitation Response to CO2-Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models".Geophysical Research Letters 47.17(2020). |
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