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DOI | 10.1029/2020GL089853 |
How Important Are Post-Tropical Cyclones for European Windstorm Risk? | |
Sainsbury E.M.; Schiemann R.K.H.; Hodges K.I.; Shaffrey L.C.; Baker A.J.; Bhatia K.T. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
卷号 | 47期号:18 |
英文摘要 | Post-tropical cyclones (PTCs) extend many hazards associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) to the midlatitudes. Despite recent high-impact cases affecting Europe such as Ophelia, little research has been done to characterize the risk of PTCs. Here we compare the climatologies and intensity distributions of midlatitude cyclones (MLCs) and PTCs in the North Atlantic and Europe by tracking cyclones in the ERA5 reanalysis. Considering hurricane season cyclones impacting Northern Europe, PTCs show a significantly higher mean maximum intensity than MLCs, but make only a small contribution to total windstorm risk. Our results show that a disproportionately large fraction of high-intensity cyclones impacting Europe during hurricane season are PTCs. The fraction of PTCs impacting N Europe with storm force (>25 m s−1) winds is ~10 times higher than that for MLCs. Less than 1% of cyclones impacting Northern Europe are identified to be PTCs. This rises to 8.8% when considering cyclones which impact with storm force winds. ©2020. The Authors. |
英文关键词 | Storms; Tropics; High intensity; Hurricane season; Intensity distribution; Mean maximums; Midlatitude cyclones; Midlatitudes; North Atlantic; Tropical cyclone; Hurricanes; climate effect; hurricane; midlatitude environment; research work; risk assessment; storm; tracking; tropical cyclone; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North); Northern Europe; Ophelia |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/169746 |
作者单位 | Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; BP, Sunbury-on-Thames, United Kingdom |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sainsbury E.M.,Schiemann R.K.H.,Hodges K.I.,et al. How Important Are Post-Tropical Cyclones for European Windstorm Risk?[J],2020,47(18). |
APA | Sainsbury E.M.,Schiemann R.K.H.,Hodges K.I.,Shaffrey L.C.,Baker A.J.,&Bhatia K.T..(2020).How Important Are Post-Tropical Cyclones for European Windstorm Risk?.Geophysical Research Letters,47(18). |
MLA | Sainsbury E.M.,et al."How Important Are Post-Tropical Cyclones for European Windstorm Risk?".Geophysical Research Letters 47.18(2020). |
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