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DOI10.1029/2020GL089272
Periodicity and Clustering in the Long-Term Earthquake Record
Griffin J.D.; Stirling M.W.; Wang T.
发表日期2020
ISSN 0094-8276
卷号47期号:22
英文摘要Elastic rebound theory forms the basis of the standard earthquake cycle model and predicts large earthquakes to recur regularly through cycles of strain accumulation and release. Yet few individual earthquake records are sufficiently long to test the theory. Here we characterize the distribution of earthquake interevent times from a global compilation of 80 long-term records. We find that large earthquakes recur more regularly than a random Poisson process on individual fault segments. The majority of Earth's well-studied faults shows weakly periodic and uncorrelated large earthquake recurrence, consistent with the expectations of elastic rebound theory. However, many low activity-rate (annual occurrence rates < 2 × 10−4) faults show random or clustered earthquake recurrence, which cannot be explained by elastic rebound theory. ©2020. The Authors.
英文关键词Faulting; Earthquake cycles; Earthquake records; Earthquake recurrence; Elastic rebound theory; Large earthquakes; Long term records; Poisson process; Strain accumulations; Earthquakes; earthquake event; fault; model; periodicity
语种英语
来源期刊Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/169385
作者单位Department of Geology, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand; Community Safety Branch, Geoscience Australia, Symonston, ACT, Australia; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
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Griffin J.D.,Stirling M.W.,Wang T.. Periodicity and Clustering in the Long-Term Earthquake Record[J],2020,47(22).
APA Griffin J.D.,Stirling M.W.,&Wang T..(2020).Periodicity and Clustering in the Long-Term Earthquake Record.Geophysical Research Letters,47(22).
MLA Griffin J.D.,et al."Periodicity and Clustering in the Long-Term Earthquake Record".Geophysical Research Letters 47.22(2020).
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