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DOI | 10.1029/2020GL089272 |
Periodicity and Clustering in the Long-Term Earthquake Record | |
Griffin J.D.; Stirling M.W.; Wang T.![]() | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
卷号 | 47期号:22 |
英文摘要 | Elastic rebound theory forms the basis of the standard earthquake cycle model and predicts large earthquakes to recur regularly through cycles of strain accumulation and release. Yet few individual earthquake records are sufficiently long to test the theory. Here we characterize the distribution of earthquake interevent times from a global compilation of 80 long-term records. We find that large earthquakes recur more regularly than a random Poisson process on individual fault segments. The majority of Earth's well-studied faults shows weakly periodic and uncorrelated large earthquake recurrence, consistent with the expectations of elastic rebound theory. However, many low activity-rate (annual occurrence rates < 2 × 10−4) faults show random or clustered earthquake recurrence, which cannot be explained by elastic rebound theory. ©2020. The Authors. |
英文关键词 | Faulting; Earthquake cycles; Earthquake records; Earthquake recurrence; Elastic rebound theory; Large earthquakes; Long term records; Poisson process; Strain accumulations; Earthquakes; earthquake event; fault; model; periodicity |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/169385 |
作者单位 | Department of Geology, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand; Community Safety Branch, Geoscience Australia, Symonston, ACT, Australia; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Griffin J.D.,Stirling M.W.,Wang T.. Periodicity and Clustering in the Long-Term Earthquake Record[J],2020,47(22). |
APA | Griffin J.D.,Stirling M.W.,&Wang T..(2020).Periodicity and Clustering in the Long-Term Earthquake Record.Geophysical Research Letters,47(22). |
MLA | Griffin J.D.,et al."Periodicity and Clustering in the Long-Term Earthquake Record".Geophysical Research Letters 47.22(2020). |
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