气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully?

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DOI	10.1029/2020GL091152
	Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully?
	Ridder N.N.; Pitman A.J.; Ukkola A.M.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0094-8276
卷号	48 期号:2
英文摘要	Compound events have the potential to cause high socioeconomic and environmental losses. We examine the ability of the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) models to capture two bivariate compound events: the co-occurrence of heavy rain and strong wind, and heat waves and meteorological drought. We evaluate the models over North America, Europe, Eurasia, and Australia using observations and reanalysis data set spanning 1980–2014. Some of the CMIP6 models capture the return periods of both bivariate compound events over North America, Europe, and Eurasia surprisingly well but perform less well over Australia. For heavy rain and strong wind, this poor performance was particularly clear in northern Australia which suggests limits in simulating tropical and extratropical cyclones, local convection, and mesoscale convective systems. We did not find higher model resolution improved performance in any region. Overall, our results show some CMIP6 models can be used to examine compound events, particularly over North America, Europe, and Eurasia. © 2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词	Rain; Storms; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Extratropical cyclones; Mesoscale Convective System; Meteorological drought; Model resolution; Northern Australia; Poor performance; Return periods; Climate models
语种	英语
来源期刊	Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/169197
作者单位	ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes and Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ridder N.N.,Pitman A.J.,Ukkola A.M.. Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully?[J],2021,48(2).
APA	Ridder N.N.,Pitman A.J.,&Ukkola A.M..(2021).Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully?.Geophysical Research Letters,48(2).
MLA	Ridder N.N.,et al."Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully?".Geophysical Research Letters 48.2(2021).