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DOI | 10.1038/s41893-020-0512-y |
The effect of education on determinants of climate change risks | |
O’Neill B.C.; Jiang L.; Kc S.; Fuchs R.; Pachauri S.; Laidlaw E.K.; Zhang T.; Zhou W.; Ren X. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 2398-9629 |
起始页码 | 520 |
结束页码 | 528 |
卷号 | 3期号:7 |
英文摘要 | Increased educational attainment is a sustainable development priority and has been posited to have benefits for other social and environmental issues, including climate change. However, links between education and climate change risks can involve both synergies and trade-offs, and the balance of these effects remains ambiguous. Increases in educational attainment could lead to faster economic growth and therefore higher emissions, more climate change and higher risks. At the same time, improved attainment would be associated with faster fertility decline in many countries, slower population growth and therefore lower emissions, and would also be likely to reduce vulnerability to climate impacts. We employ a multiregion, multisector model of the world economy, driven with country-specific projections of future population by level of education, to test the net effect of education on emissions and on the Human Development Index (HDI), an indicator that correlates with adaptive capacity to climate impacts. We find that improved educational attainment is associated with a modest net increase in emissions but substantial improvement in the HDI values in developing country regions. Avoiding stalled progress in educational attainment and achieving gains at least consistent with historical trends is especially important in reducing future vulnerability. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Climate models; Developing countries; Economic analysis; Economic and social effects; Population statistics; Sustainable development; Adaptive capacity; Climate change risks; Educational attainments; Historical trends; Human development index; Level of educations; Population growth; Social and environmental; Climate change |
来源期刊 | Nature Sustainability
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163382 |
作者单位 | Josef Korbel School of International Studies and Pardee Center for International Futures, University of Denver, Denver, CO, United States; Asian Demographic Research Institute, Shanghai University, Shanghai, China; Population Council, New York, NY, United States; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; Statistics Austria, Vienna, Austria; Institute of Population and Development Studies, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | O’Neill B.C.,Jiang L.,Kc S.,et al. The effect of education on determinants of climate change risks[J],2020,3(7). |
APA | O’Neill B.C..,Jiang L..,Kc S..,Fuchs R..,Pachauri S..,...&Ren X..(2020).The effect of education on determinants of climate change risks.Nature Sustainability,3(7). |
MLA | O’Neill B.C.,et al."The effect of education on determinants of climate change risks".Nature Sustainability 3.7(2020). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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