气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change extremes and photovoltaic power output

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-020-00643-w
	Climate change extremes and photovoltaic power output
	Feron S.; Cordero R.R.; Damiani A.; Jackson R.B.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	2398-9629
英文摘要	Sustainable development requires climate change mitigation and thereby a fast energy transition to renewables. However, climate change may affect renewable power outputs by enhancing the weather variability and making extreme conditions more frequent. High temperature or clouds, for example, can lead to poorer photovoltaic (PV) power outputs. Here, we assess global changes in the frequency of warm and cloudy conditions that lead to very low PV power outputs. Using simulations from global climate models (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), we show that summer days with very low PV power outputs are expected to double in the Arabian Peninsula by mid-century but could be reduced by half in southern Europe over the same period, even under a moderate-emission scenario. Changes for winter, either enhancing or mitigating the PV power intermittency, are projected to be less striking, at least in low- and mid-latitude regions. Our results present valuable information for energy planners to compensate for the effects of future weather variability. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Photovoltaic cells; Planning; Climate change mitigation; Cloudy conditions; Emission scenario; Energy transitions; Extreme conditions; Global climate model; Photovoltaic power; Weather variability; Climate change
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163173
作者单位	Universidad de Santiago de Chile, Santiago, Chile; Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States; Center for Environmental Remote Sensing, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan; Woods Institute for the Environment and Precourt Institute for Energy, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Feron S.,Cordero R.R.,Damiani A.,et al. Climate change extremes and photovoltaic power output[J],2020.
APA	Feron S.,Cordero R.R.,Damiani A.,&Jackson R.B..(2020).Climate change extremes and photovoltaic power output.Nature Sustainability.
MLA	Feron S.,et al."Climate change extremes and photovoltaic power output".Nature Sustainability (2020).