气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe

CCPortal

DOI	10.5194/hess-23-1305-2019
	Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe
	Steirou E.; Gerlitz L.; Apel H.; Sun X.; Merz B.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	1027-5606
起始页码	1305
结束页码	1322
卷号	23 期号:3
英文摘要	The link between streamflow extremes and climatology has been widely studied in recent decades. However, a study investigating the effect of large-scale circulation variations on the distribution of seasonal discharge extremes at the European level is missing. Here we fit a climate-informed generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution to about 600 streamflow records in Europe for each of the standard seasons, i.e., to winter, spring, summer and autumn maxima, and compare it with the classical GEV distribution with parameters invariant in time. The study adopts a Bayesian framework and covers the period 1950 to 2016. Five indices with proven influence on the European climate are examined independently as covariates, namely the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the east Atlantic pattern (EA), the east Atlantic-western Russian pattern (EA/WR), the Scandinavia pattern (SCA) and the polar-Eurasian pattern (POL). © 2019 Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Atmospheric pressure; Bayesian frameworks; European levels; Generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions; GEV distributions; Large-scale circulation; North Atlantic oscillations; Scandinavia; Streamflow records; Stream flow; atmospheric circulation; climate effect; climatology; discharge; extreme event; flood; North Atlantic Oscillation; probability density function; streamflow; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North); Scandinavia
来源期刊	Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/159738
作者单位	Steirou, E., Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Gerlitz, L., Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Apel, H., Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Sun, X., Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), East China Normal University, Shanghai, 200241, China, Columbia Water Center, Earth Institute, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, United States; Merz, B., Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, 14476, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Steirou E.,Gerlitz L.,Apel H.,et al. Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe[J],2019,23(3).
APA	Steirou E.,Gerlitz L.,Apel H.,Sun X.,&Merz B..(2019).Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,23(3).
MLA	Steirou E.,et al."Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe".Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 23.3(2019).