气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Considering the Role of Adaptive Evolution in Models of the Ocean and Climate System

CCPortal

DOI	10.1029/2018MS001452
	Considering the Role of Adaptive Evolution in Models of the Ocean and Climate System
	Ward B.A.; Collins S.; Dutkiewicz S.; Gibbs S.; Bown P.; Ridgwell A.; Sauterey B.; Wilson J.D.; Oschlies A.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	19422466
起始页码	3343
结束页码	3361
卷号	11 期号:11
英文摘要	Numerical models have been highly successful in simulating global carbon and nutrient cycles in today's ocean, together with observed spatial and temporal patterns of chlorophyll and plankton biomass at the surface. With this success has come some confidence in projecting the century-scale response to continuing anthropogenic warming. There is also increasing interest in using such models to understand the role of plankton ecosystems in past oceans. However, today's marine environment is the product of billions of years of continual evolution—a process that continues today. In this paper, we address the questions of whether an assumption of species invariance is sufficient, and if not, under what circumstances current model projections might break down. To do this, we first identify the key timescales and questions asked of models. We then review how current marine ecosystem models work and what alternative approaches are available to account for evolution. We argue that for timescales of climate change overlapping with evolutionary timescales, accounting for evolution may to lead to very different projected outcomes regarding the timescales of ecosystem response and associated global biogeochemical cycling. This is particularly the case for past extinction events but may also be true in the future, depending on the eventual degree of anthropogenic disruption. The discipline of building new numerical models that incorporate evolution is also hugely beneficial in itself, as it forces us to question what we know about adaptive evolution, irrespective of its quantitative role in any specific event or environmental changes. ©2019. The Authors.
英文关键词	climate; ecology; evolution; ocean
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate change; Ecology; Ecosystems; Numerical models; Oceanography; Plankton; Adaptive evolution; Anthropogenic warming; Biogeochemical cycling; climate; Environmental change; evolution; ocean; Spatial and temporal patterns; Climate models; chlorophyll; ecosystem response; environmental change; numerical model; nutrient cycling; timescale
来源期刊	Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/156834
作者单位	Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom; Institute of Evolutionary Biology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States; Department of Geology, University College London, London, United Kingdom; Department of Earth Sciences, University of California, Riverside, CA, United States; School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom; Ecole Normale Supérieure, PSL Research University, Institut de Biologie de l'Ecole Normale Supérieure (IBENS), Paris, France; GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research, Kiel, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ward B.A.,Collins S.,Dutkiewicz S.,et al. Considering the Role of Adaptive Evolution in Models of the Ocean and Climate System[J],2019,11(11).
APA	Ward B.A..,Collins S..,Dutkiewicz S..,Gibbs S..,Bown P..,...&Oschlies A..(2019).Considering the Role of Adaptive Evolution in Models of the Ocean and Climate System.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,11(11).
MLA	Ward B.A.,et al."Considering the Role of Adaptive Evolution in Models of the Ocean and Climate System".Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11.11(2019).