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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aaf665 |
An integrated index of recent pan-Arctic climate change | |
Overland J.E.; Wang M.; Box J.E. | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 17489318 |
卷号 | 14期号:3 |
英文摘要 | We investigate climatic changes that have occurred in the Arctic over the period 1982-2017 through examination of ten observational cryospheric time series, and develop a new quantitative composite Arctic climate change index (ACCI). Using Factor Analysis highlights joint trends of winter temperature increases and sea ice loss, tundra shifts, and secondarily summer sea ice loss, spring snow loss, and Greenland land ice loss. An Arctic-wide atmospheric circulation index (Arctic Oscillation) was not selected as a joint contributor. Distinct Arctic change began in 1990 and the trend increases after 2005 to the end of the series. That most variables of the collection project onto a single pattern of change suggests that the Arctic is responding as a coherent system over the previous three decades. However, no single index exclusively tracks change in the Arctic, a conclusion that emerges from a multivariate analysis. A composite quantitative index (ACCI) is useful to document the covariability of systematic Arctic change. © 2019 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
英文关键词 | arctic change; cryosphere; environmental indicators; global warming |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Global warming; Sea ice; arctic change; Arctic climate change; Atmospheric circulation; Cryosphere; Environmental indicators; Multi variate analysis; Quantitative indices; Temperature increase; Multivariant analysis; Arctic Oscillation; atmospheric circulation; climate change; cryosphere; environmental indicator; factor analysis; global warming; index method; multivariate analysis; Arctic; Greenland |
来源期刊 | Environmental Research Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154674 |
作者单位 | NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA, United States; University of Washington, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, Seattle, WA, United States; Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS), Copenhagen, Denmark |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Overland J.E.,Wang M.,Box J.E.. An integrated index of recent pan-Arctic climate change[J],2019,14(3). |
APA | Overland J.E.,Wang M.,&Box J.E..(2019).An integrated index of recent pan-Arctic climate change.Environmental Research Letters,14(3). |
MLA | Overland J.E.,et al."An integrated index of recent pan-Arctic climate change".Environmental Research Letters 14.3(2019). |
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