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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6c6f |
Shifting velocity of temperature extremes under climate change | |
Rey J.; Rohat G.; Perroud M.; Goyette S.; Kasparian J. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 17489318 |
卷号 | 15期号:3 |
英文摘要 | Rapid changes in climatic conditions threaten both socioeconomic and ecological systems, as these might not be able to adapt or to migrate at the same pace as that of global warming. In particular, an increase of weather and climate extremes can lead to increased stress on human and natural systems, and a tendency for serious adverse effects. We rely on the EURO-CORDEX simulations and focus on the the screen-level daily mean temperature (T2m). We compare the shifting velocities of the cold and hot extremes with these of the associated central trends, i.e. the arithmetical mean or median. We define the extremes relative to the T2m distribution as it evolves with time over the period of 1951-2100. We find that temperature extremes shift at a similar velocity compared to that of the central trends. Accordingly, the T2m probability distribution shifts mostly as a whole, as the tails of the distribution increase together with the central trends. Exceptions occur however in specific regions and for the clustering of warm days, which shifts slower than all other extremes investigated in this study. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
英文关键词 | climate change; extreme; shifting velocity of climate |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Climate change; Global warming; Probability distributions; Velocity; Arithmetical mean; Climate extremes; Climatic conditions; Ecological systems; extreme; Mean temperature; shifting velocity of climate; Temperature extremes; Extreme weather; climate change; climate conditions; cluster analysis; extreme event; global warming; simulation; temperature effect |
来源期刊 | Environmental Research Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154172 |
作者单位 | Group of Applied Physics, University of Geneva, GAP, 22 chemin de Pinchat, Geneva 4, 1211, Switzerland; Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, bd Carl Vogt 66, Geneva 4, 1211, Switzerland; Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, University of Twente, Enschede, 7514 AE, Netherlands; National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, CO 80301, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rey J.,Rohat G.,Perroud M.,et al. Shifting velocity of temperature extremes under climate change[J],2020,15(3). |
APA | Rey J.,Rohat G.,Perroud M.,Goyette S.,&Kasparian J..(2020).Shifting velocity of temperature extremes under climate change.Environmental Research Letters,15(3). |
MLA | Rey J.,et al."Shifting velocity of temperature extremes under climate change".Environmental Research Letters 15.3(2020). |
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