气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): How does weather affect the use of public transport in Berlin?

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DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ab8ec3
	How does weather affect the use of public transport in Berlin?
	Nissen K.M.; Becker N.; Dahne O.; Rabe M.; Scheffler J.; Solle M.; Ulbrich U.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	17489318
卷号	15 期号:8
英文摘要	The effect of weather on public transport usage in Berlin is analysed. The number of single and day tickets sold is used as a proxy for the number of occasional public transport users. Analysing more than three years of hourly ticket sale data, it is shown that the most important factor influencing ticket sales is temperature. Temperatures below -5°C lead to an increase in ticket sales by up to 30% on working days, while on hot days (> 28°C) passenger numbers drop by up to 5%. Precipitation increases the number of sales on working days by up to 5%. On weekends, the lowest ticket-sale numbers are associated with wet and either very cold or very hot conditions. Another factor influencing ticket sales is sunshine duration, while wind and snowfall do not seem to play a role for ticket sales in Berlin. It is demonstrated that it is possible to predict ticket sales depending on date, time and weather conditions using a statistical model. On designated public transport routes the effect of weather on passenger numbers can be much stronger than the district average. This is shown for the example of a bus route to a public beach. With each degree of temperature increase, passenger numbers on this line go up by approximately 30%. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词	public transport; statistical model; weather
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Hot working; Transportation routes; Bus route; Hot conditions; Passenger numbers; Public transport; Statistical modeling; Sunshine duration; Temperature increase; Sales; air temperature; cost analysis; daylight; public transport; temperature profile; travel behavior; weather; wind direction; Berlin; Germany
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153901
作者单位	Department of Meteorology, Freie Universitat Berlin, Germany; Berliner Verkehrsbetriebe, Berlin, Germany; Now at UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Penicuik, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Nissen K.M.,Becker N.,Dahne O.,et al. How does weather affect the use of public transport in Berlin?[J],2020,15(8).
APA	Nissen K.M..,Becker N..,Dahne O..,Rabe M..,Scheffler J..,...&Ulbrich U..(2020).How does weather affect the use of public transport in Berlin?.Environmental Research Letters,15(8).
MLA	Nissen K.M.,et al."How does weather affect the use of public transport in Berlin?".Environmental Research Letters 15.8(2020).