气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Winners and losers of the Sino-US trade war from economic and environmental perspectives

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/aba3d5
	Winners and losers of the Sino-US trade war from economic and environmental perspectives
	Du M.; Chen L.; Lin J.; Liu Y.; Feng K.; Liu Q.; Liu Y.; Wang J.; Ni R.; Zhao Y.; Si W.; Li Y.; Kong H.; Weng H.; Liu M.; Adeniran J.A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	17489318
卷号	15 期号:9
英文摘要	The ongoing trade war between the United States and China is having profound impacts on the global economy. As recent studies have found substantial amounts of carbon dioxide and air pollution embedded in the global supply chains, the Sino-US trade war may also affect emissions and health burdens worldwide, which remains poorly understood. Here, we estimate the potential changes in gross domestic product (GDP), anthropogenic emissions and particulate matter (PM2.5) related premature deaths worldwide under two Sino-US trade war scenarios. We find that for the US and China, the trade war would reduce their GDP and, less significantly, emissions and mortality, suggesting that the trade war is not an effective means of environmental protection. The trade war would increase both GDP and mortality in many developing regions, because of their increased production of goods targeted in the Sino-US trade war. Surprisingly, Western Europe and Latin America and Caribbean would have higher GDP but lower emissions and mortality, an economic and environmental win-win outcome as a net result of the complex changes in the global supply chains. Neighbour regions of the US and China such as Canada, Japan and Korea would also have higher GDP but lower mortality, because of reduced atmospheric transboundary transport from the US and China overcompensating for increased local emissions of these neighbours. The complex consequences of the Sino-US trade war highlight the strong inter-regional and economic-environmental linkage in support of a global collaborative strategy to foster economic growth and environmental protection. © 2020 Institute of Physics Publishing. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	Air pollution; Atmospheric transport; International trade
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Atmospheric movements; Carbon dioxide; Environmental protection; Supply chains; Anthropogenic emissions; Collaborative strategies; Developing regions; Economic growths; Global supply chain; Gross domestic products; Particulate Matter; Potential change; Commerce; anthropogenic effect; atmospheric pollution; carbon dioxide; economic conditions; economic growth; environmental economics; environmental protection; global economy; Gross Domestic Product; particulate matter; trade-environment relations; Canada; China; Japan; Korea; Latin America; United States; Western Europe
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153807
作者单位	Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China; Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China; School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China; Institute of Blue and Green Development, Shandong University, Weihai, 264209, China; Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, United States; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Quebec at Montreal, Montreal H3C 3P8, Canada; School of the Environment, Nanjing University, 163 Xianlin Ave, Nanjing, 210046, China; College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing, 100083, China; China Animal Disease Control Center, Beijing, 102600, China; Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Du M.,Chen L.,Lin J.,et al. Winners and losers of the Sino-US trade war from economic and environmental perspectives[J],2020,15(9).
APA	Du M..,Chen L..,Lin J..,Liu Y..,Feng K..,...&Adeniran J.A..(2020).Winners and losers of the Sino-US trade war from economic and environmental perspectives.Environmental Research Letters,15(9).
MLA	Du M.,et al."Winners and losers of the Sino-US trade war from economic and environmental perspectives".Environmental Research Letters 15.9(2020).