气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): 'Will the Paris Agreement protect us from hydro-meteorological extremes?'

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/aba869
	'Will the Paris Agreement protect us from hydro-meteorological extremes?'
	Farinosi F.; Dosio A.; Calliari E.; Seliger R.; Alfieri L.; Naumann G.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	17489318
卷号	15 期号:10
英文摘要	Multi-hazard assessment is needed to understand compound risk. Yet, modelling of multiple climate hazards has been limitedly applied at the global scale to date. Here we provide a first comprehensive assessment of global population exposure to hydro-meteorological extremes-floods, drought and heatwaves-under different temperature increase targets. This study shows how limiting temperature increase to 1.5 and 2 °C, as for the goals of the Paris Agreement, could substantially decrease the share of global population exposed compared to a 3 °C scenario. In a 2 °C world, population exposure would drop by more than 50%, in Africa, Asia and the Americas, and by about 40% in Europe and Oceania. A 1.5 °C stabilization would further reduce exposure of about an additional 10% to 30% across the globe. As the Parties of the Paris Agreement are expected to communicate new or updated nationally determined contributions by 2020, our results powerfully indicate the benefits of ratcheting up both mitigation and adaptation ambition. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词	Climate extremes; Global warming targets; Multi-hazard exposure; Paris agreement
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Hazards; Climate hazards; Comprehensive assessment; Global population; Limiting temperature; Meteorological extremes; Multi-hazards; Population exposure; Temperature increase; Risk assessment; adaptive management; debt for nature swap; drought stress; extreme event; global warming; heat wave; hydrometeorology; international agreement; Africa; Asia; Europe
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153639
作者单位	Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy; University College London, London, United Kingdom; Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change, Venice, Italy; Piksel S.r.l., Milan, Italy; Cima Research Foundation, Savona, Italy
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Farinosi F.,Dosio A.,Calliari E.,et al. 'Will the Paris Agreement protect us from hydro-meteorological extremes?'[J],2020,15(10).
APA	Farinosi F.,Dosio A.,Calliari E.,Seliger R.,Alfieri L.,&Naumann G..(2020).'Will the Paris Agreement protect us from hydro-meteorological extremes?'.Environmental Research Letters,15(10).
MLA	Farinosi F.,et al."'Will the Paris Agreement protect us from hydro-meteorological extremes?'".Environmental Research Letters 15.10(2020).