气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): How to 'downsize' a complex society: An agent-based modelling approach to assess the resilience of Indus Civilisation settlements to past climate change

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DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/abacf9
	How to 'downsize' a complex society: An agent-based modelling approach to assess the resilience of Indus Civilisation settlements to past climate change
	Angourakis A.; Bates J.; Baudouin J.-P.; Giesche A.; Cemre Ustunkaya M.; Wright N.; Singh R.N.; Petrie C.A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	17489318
卷号	15 期号:11
英文摘要	The development, floruit and decline of the urban phase of the Indus Civilisation (c.2600/2500-1900 BC) provide an ideal opportunity to investigate social resilience and transformation in relation to a variable climate. The Indus Civilisation extended over most of the Indus River Basin, which includes a mix of diverse environments conditioned, among other factors, by partially overlapping patterns of winter and summer precipitation. These patterns likely changed towards the end of the urban phase (4.2 ka BP event), increasing aridity. The impact of this change appears to have varied at different cities and between urban and rural contexts. We present a simulation approach using agent-based modelling to address the potential diversity of agricultural strategies adopted by Indus settlements in different socio-ecological scenarios in Haryana, NW India. This is an ongoing initiative that consists of creating a modular model, Indus Village, that assesses the implications of trends in cropping strategies for the sustainability of settlements and the resilience of such strategies under different regimes of precipitation. The model aims to simulate rural settlements structured into farming households, with sub-models representing weather and land systems, food economy, demography, and land use. This model building is being carried out as part of the multi-disciplinary TwoRains project. It brings together research on material culture, settlement distribution, food production and consumption, vegetation and paleoenvironmental conditions. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd
英文关键词	Agent-based modelling; Agriculture; Bronze Age; Climate change; Indus Civilisation; Modelling and simulation; Resilience
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Agricultural robots; Autonomous agents; Computational methods; Demography; Economics; Land use; Simulation platform; Agent-based modelling; Agricultural strategies; Increasing aridities; Indus river basin; Material cultures; Overlapping patterns; Simulation approach; Summer precipitation; Climate change; cropping practice; ecosystem resilience; food production; historical time (human history); paleoenvironment; precipitation assessment; trend analysis; vegetation structure; Haryana; India; Indus Basin
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153514
作者单位	McDonald Institute for Archaeological Research, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, CB2 3DZ, United Kingdom; Department of Anthropology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, United States; Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, CB2 3EN, United Kingdom; Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, 69117, Germany; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, CB2 3EQ, United Kingdom; School of Social Science, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD 4072, Australia; Department of AIHC and Archaeology, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, 221005, India; Department of Archaeology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, CB2 3DZ, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Angourakis A.,Bates J.,Baudouin J.-P.,et al. How to 'downsize' a complex society: An agent-based modelling approach to assess the resilience of Indus Civilisation settlements to past climate change[J],2020,15(11).
APA	Angourakis A..,Bates J..,Baudouin J.-P..,Giesche A..,Cemre Ustunkaya M..,...&Petrie C.A..(2020).How to 'downsize' a complex society: An agent-based modelling approach to assess the resilience of Indus Civilisation settlements to past climate change.Environmental Research Letters,15(11).
MLA	Angourakis A.,et al."How to 'downsize' a complex society: An agent-based modelling approach to assess the resilience of Indus Civilisation settlements to past climate change".Environmental Research Letters 15.11(2020).