气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Dynamic ecological risk modelling of hydrocarbon release scenarios in Arctic waters

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.marpolbul.2020.111001
	Dynamic ecological risk modelling of hydrocarbon release scenarios in Arctic waters
	Sajid Z.; Khan F.; Veitch B.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0025326X
卷号	153
英文摘要	The Arctic is an ecologically diverse area that is increasingly vulnerable to damages from oil spills associated with commercial vessels traversing newly open shipping lanes. The significance of such accidents on Arctic marine habitats and the potential for recovery can be examined using ecological risk assessment (ERA) coupled with a dynamic object-oriented Bayesian network (DOOBN). A DOOBN approach is useful to represent the probabilistic relationships inherent in the interactions between key events associated with an oil spill, including oil dispersion from the source, ice-oil slick interactions, seawater-oil slick formation, sedimentation, and exposures to different aquatic life. From such analysis, a probabilistic cost analysis can be performed to examine the theoretical cost of habitat services lost and restored. The application of an ERA-DOOBN model to assess oil spills in the Arctic is demonstrated using a case study. The utility of the model output for determining habitat restoration costs and developing policy guidelines for ecological response measures in the Arctic is also discussed. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Arctic oil spill risk; Ecological risk; Habitat risk; Oil spill; Risk modelling; Site restoration
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Bayesian networks; Cost benefit analysis; Ecosystems; Hydrocarbon refining; Oil spills; Restoration; Risk perception; Dynamic Object Oriented Bayesian Networks; Ecological response; Ecological risk assessment; Ecological risks; Habitat restoration; Probabilistic costs; Risk modelling; Site restoration; Risk assessment; hydrocarbon; petroleum; sea water; hydrocarbon; ecotoxicology; habitat restoration; hydrocarbon; marine pollution; modeling; oil spill; risk assessment; aquatic environment; Arctic Ocean; Article; controlled study; cost benefit analysis; dynamic Bayesian network; dynamic object oriented Bayesian network; ecological risk assessment; ecosystem restoration; environmental exposure; environmental parameters; hydrocarbon release; oil spill; risk assessment; sea pollution; sedimentation; species habitat; water analysis; Arctic; Bayes theorem; procedures; risk assessment; Arctic Ocean; Arctic Regions; Bayes Theorem; Hydrocarbons; Petroleum Pollution; Risk Assessment; Seawater
来源期刊	Marine Pollution Bulletin
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/149116
作者单位	Centre for Risk, Integrity and Safety Engineering (C-RISE), Faculty of Engineering & Applied Science, Memorial University, St John's, NL A1B 3X5, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sajid Z.,Khan F.,Veitch B.. Dynamic ecological risk modelling of hydrocarbon release scenarios in Arctic waters[J],2020,153.
APA	Sajid Z.,Khan F.,&Veitch B..(2020).Dynamic ecological risk modelling of hydrocarbon release scenarios in Arctic waters.Marine Pollution Bulletin,153.
MLA	Sajid Z.,et al."Dynamic ecological risk modelling of hydrocarbon release scenarios in Arctic waters".Marine Pollution Bulletin 153(2020).