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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2011.020
	The future of European floodplain wetlands under a changing climate
	Schneider C.; Flörke M.; Geerling G.; Duel H.; Grygoruk M.; Okruszko T.
发表日期	2011
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	106
结束页码	122
卷号	2 期号:2020-02-03
英文摘要	In the future, climate change may severely alter flood patterns over large regional scales. Consequently, besides other anthropogenic factors, climate change represents a potential threat to river ecosystems. The aim of this study is to evaluate the effect of climate change on floodplain inundation for important floodplain wetlands in Europe and to place these results in an ecological context. This work is performed within the Water Scenarios for Europe and Neighbouring States (SCENES) project considering three different climate change projections for the 2050s. The global scale hydrological model WaterGAP is applied to simulate current and future river discharges that are then used to: (i) estimate bankfull flow conditions, (ii) determine three different inundation parameters, and (iii) evaluate the hydrological consequences and their relation to ecology. Results of this study indicate that in snow-affected catchments (e.g. in Central and Eastern Europe) inundation may appear earlier in the year. Duration and volume of inundation are expected to decrease. This will lead to a reduction in habitat for fish, vertebrates, water birds and floodplain-specific vegetation causing a loss in biodiversity, floodplain productivity and fish production. Contradictory results occur in Spain, France, Southern England and the Benelux countries. This reflects the uncertainties of current climate modelling for specific seasons. © IWA Publishing 2011.
英文关键词	Climate change; Ecological impacts; Floodplain wetlands; Floods; Partial duration series; WaterGAP
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Anthropogenic factors; Central and Eastern Europe; Climate change projections; Ecological impacts; Floodplain inundation; Floodplain wetlands; Partial duration series; WaterGAP; Banks (bodies of water); Biodiversity; Catchments; Climate change; Ecology; Fish; Uncertainty analysis; Wetlands; Floods; biodiversity; climate change; climate effect; climate modeling; computer simulation; ecological impact; floodplain; human activity; hydrological modeling; river discharge; wetland; Benelux; England; France; Spain; United Kingdom; Aves; Vertebrata
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148373
作者单位	Center for Environmental Systems Research, University of Kassel, Kurt-Wolters-Straße 3, D-34109 Kassel, Germany; Deltares, P.O. Box 85467, 3508 AL Utrecht, Netherlands; Department of Hydraulic Engineering and Environmental Restoration, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, ul. Nowoursynowska 159, 02-776 Warsaw, Poland
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Schneider C.,Flörke M.,Geerling G.,et al. The future of European floodplain wetlands under a changing climate[J],2011,2(2020-02-03).
APA	Schneider C.,Flörke M.,Geerling G.,Duel H.,Grygoruk M.,&Okruszko T..(2011).The future of European floodplain wetlands under a changing climate.Journal of Water and Climate Change,2(2020-02-03).
MLA	Schneider C.,et al."The future of European floodplain wetlands under a changing climate".Journal of Water and Climate Change 2.2020-02-03(2011).