气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessing potential climate change impacts on the seasonality of runoff in an Alpine watershed

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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2014.106
	Assessing potential climate change impacts on the seasonality of runoff in an Alpine watershed
	Schneeberger K.; Dobler C.; Huttenlau M.; Stötter J.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	263
结束页码	277
卷号	6 期号:2
英文摘要	The aim of this study is to investigate potential impacts of climate change on the seasonality of runoff in a mountainous watershed, located in the Austrian Alps. In order to consider the full range of possible climate variation, hypothetical climate change scenarios were used to force a hydrological model to simulate runoff time series for potential future climate conditions. The variation of runoff seasonality is illustrated with a three-dimensional representation of daily discharge data, directional statistics of annual flood peaks and the analysis of seasonal occurrence of runoff peaks. The results show that changes in temperature and precipitation patterns could have considerable effects on seasonal runoff variability in the investigated watershed. Generally, a possible increase in temperature may cause an increase in seasonal variability of runoff. Further, annual flood peaks are projected to occur throughout the entire year in the investigated Alpine watershed, whereas moderate high flows may increase in winter (December–February). © IWA Publishing 2015.
英文关键词	Alpine watershed; Climate change; Flow regime; Scenario-neutral approach; Seasonality
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Flood control; Floods; Runoff; Watersheds; Alpine watershed; Climate change scenarios; Dimensional representation; Directional statistics; Flow regimes; Precipitation patterns; Scenario-neutral approach; Seasonality; Climate change; climate change; flooding; risk assessment; runoff; seasonality; watershed; Alps; Austria
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148229
作者单位	AlpS – Centre for Climate Change Adaptation, Innsbruck, Austria; Institute of Geography, University of Innsbruck, Austria; Department Landesentwicklung und Zukunftsstrategie, Regional Government of Tyrol, Innsbruck, Austria
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Schneeberger K.,Dobler C.,Huttenlau M.,et al. Assessing potential climate change impacts on the seasonality of runoff in an Alpine watershed[J],2015,6(2).
APA	Schneeberger K.,Dobler C.,Huttenlau M.,&Stötter J..(2015).Assessing potential climate change impacts on the seasonality of runoff in an Alpine watershed.Journal of Water and Climate Change,6(2).
MLA	Schneeberger K.,et al."Assessing potential climate change impacts on the seasonality of runoff in an Alpine watershed".Journal of Water and Climate Change 6.2(2015).