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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2015.126
	Do CMIP5 models hint at a warmer and wetter India in the 21st century?
	Maity R.; Aggarwal A.; Chanda K.
发表日期	2016
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	280
结束页码	295
卷号	7 期号:2
英文摘要	This study diagnoses the spatio-temporal variation of three major hydroclimatic variables (temperature, precipitation and evaporation) estimated from four general circulation models participating in the Fifth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparision Project (CMIP5). Changes in climate regime are analyzed across India for the historical scenario (1850-2005) and for the RCP8.5 scenario (2006-2100). The study provides a relative assessment of projected changes in climatic pattern over different zones in India, broadly divided as southern, Eastern, Western, Central, North- Eastern and Himalayan regions. Monthly data for both the scenarios were obtained, and all the data were re-gridded to a common resolution. All the models show a stronger warming in the future as compared to the historical period. The North-Eastern, Northern and Himalayan regions are likely to be severely affected. Though inconsistencies have been observed among the models, the majority of them predict an increase in precipitation in future, with a major increment in southern cities. The Himalayan belt is expected to receive heavy rainfall in the summer season, with little change in the winter season. Most of the regions are not expected to experience change in evaporation in pre-monsoonal months, but substantial change is expected in some regions during monsoonal and post-monsoonal months. © IWA Publishing 2016.
英文关键词	Climate change; CMIP5; Evaporation; Precipitation; RCP8.5; Temperature
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Evaporation; Precipitation (chemical); Rain; Temperature; Climate regime; CMIP5; Coupled modeling; General circulation model; Historical periods; Hydroclimatic variables; RCP8.5; Spatio-temporal variation; Climate change; air temperature; atmospheric general circulation model; climate change; climate modeling; evaporation; precipitation (climatology); spatiotemporal analysis; India
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148162
作者单位	Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur, West Bengal 721302, India
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Maity R.,Aggarwal A.,Chanda K.. Do CMIP5 models hint at a warmer and wetter India in the 21st century?[J],2016,7(2).
APA	Maity R.,Aggarwal A.,&Chanda K..(2016).Do CMIP5 models hint at a warmer and wetter India in the 21st century?.Journal of Water and Climate Change,7(2).
MLA	Maity R.,et al."Do CMIP5 models hint at a warmer and wetter India in the 21st century?".Journal of Water and Climate Change 7.2(2016).