气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Water resource management in a variable and changing climate: Hypothetical case study to explore decision making under uncertainty

CCPortal

DOI	10.2166/wcc.2015.040
	Water resource management in a variable and changing climate: Hypothetical case study to explore decision making under uncertainty
	Kiem A.S.; Austin E.K.; Verdon-Kidd D.C.
发表日期	2016
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	263
结束页码	279
卷号	7 期号:2
英文摘要	This paper investigates what information water resource managers think they need to make decisions on climate change adaptation. This is achieved through a hypothetical case study where participants, all actual water resource managers or in research, practitioner or administration roles linked to Australian water resources management, were given theoretical future climate scenarios and asked to make decisions based on the available information. The case study provided useful insights into why there is little evidence of effective climate change adaptation being implemented despite significant advances in climate impacts and adaptation science over the last decade. It was found that in order to bridge the gap between climate change adaptation recommendations and successful implementation at practitioner level there is a demand for: improved translation, communication and packaging of existing climate science information into sector- and locationspecific impacts (e.g. hydrological interpretation of climate model rainfall projections and the associated uncertainties); attribution of historical and future hydroclimatic changes (e.g. not just what has happened or is going to happen but why and the confidence and likelihoods surrounding that); quantification of costs and benefits of any decision; and understanding of the social, political, and environmental contexts and level of acceptance associated with any decision. © IWA Publishing 2016.
英文关键词	Climate change adaptation; Climate risk; End-user; Irreducible uncertainty; Knowledge broker
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Decision making; Information management; Managers; Water management; Water resources; Climate change adaptation; Decision making under uncertainty; End users; Future climate scenarios; Irreducible uncertainty; Knowledge brokers; Water resources management; Waterresource management; Climate change; climate change; decision making; knowledge; risk assessment; uncertainty analysis; water management; water resource; Australia
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148160
作者单位	Centre for Water, Climate and Land Use (CWCL), Faculty of Science and Information Technology, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW 2308, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kiem A.S.,Austin E.K.,Verdon-Kidd D.C.. Water resource management in a variable and changing climate: Hypothetical case study to explore decision making under uncertainty[J],2016,7(2).
APA	Kiem A.S.,Austin E.K.,&Verdon-Kidd D.C..(2016).Water resource management in a variable and changing climate: Hypothetical case study to explore decision making under uncertainty.Journal of Water and Climate Change,7(2).
MLA	Kiem A.S.,et al."Water resource management in a variable and changing climate: Hypothetical case study to explore decision making under uncertainty".Journal of Water and Climate Change 7.2(2016).