气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Co-designing global target-seeking scenarios: A cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102198
	Co-designing global target-seeking scenarios: A cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability
	Aguiar A.P.D.; Collste D.; Harmáčková Z.V.; Pereira L.; Selomane O.; Galafassi D.; Van Vuuren D.; Van Der Leeuw S.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	65
英文摘要	The United Nations 2030 Agenda catalysed the development of global target-seeking sustainability-oriented scenarios representing alternative pathways to reach the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Implementing the SDGs requires connected actions across local, national, regional, and global levels; thus, target-seeking scenarios need to reflect alternative options and tensions across those scales. We argue that the design of global sustainability-oriented target-seeking scenarios requires a consistent process for capturing multiple and contrasting perspectives on how to reach the goals, including the perspectives from multiple scales (e.g. local, national, regional) and geographic regions (e.g. the Global South). Here we propose a novel approach to co-design global target-seeking scenarios, consisting of (a) capturing global perspectives on pathways to the SDGs through a review of existing global scenarios; (b) a multi-stakeholder process to obtain multiple sub-global perspectives on pathways to sustainability; (c) an analysis of convergences, and crucially, divergences between global and regional perspectives on pathways to reach the SDGs, feeding into the design of new target-seeking scenario narratives. As a case study, we use the results of the 2018 African Dialogue on The World in 2050, discussing the future of agriculture and food systems. The identified divergent themes emerging from our analysis included urbanization, population growth, agricultural practices, and the roles of different actors in the future of agriculture. The results challenge some of the existing underlying assumptions of the current sustainability-oriented global scenarios (e.g. population growth, urbanisation, agricultural practices), indicating the relevance and timeliness of the proposed approach. We suggest that similar approaches can be replicated in other contexts to better inform the process of sustainability-oriented scenario co-design across scales, regions and cultures. In addition, we highlight the implications of the approach for scenario quantification and the evolution of modeling tools. © 2020 The Authors
英文关键词	Cross-scale analysis; Food system transformation; Pathways; Sustainable Development Goals; Target-seeking scenarios; Three Horizons
语种	英语
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147581
作者单位	Stockholm University, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Kräftriket 2B, Stockholm, 104 05, Sweden; National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Av. dos Astronautas 1758, São José dos Campos, SP CEP: 12227-010, Brazil; Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Belidla 986/4a, Brno, 603 00, Czech Republic; Centre D'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International (CERDI-CNRS), Université Clermont-Auvergne, 65 Boulevard F. Mitterrand, Clermont-Ferrand, 63000, France; Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Stellenbosch University, Private Bag X1, Matieland, 7602, South Africa; Centre for Food Policy, City University of London, London, United Kingdom; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Postbus 30314, GH The Hague, 2500, Netherlands; Utrecht University, Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Postbus 80.115, Utrecht, 3508TC, Netherlands; ASU-SFI Center for Biosocial Complex Systems, Arizona State University, 1031 S. Palm Walk, Tempe, AZ 85287, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Aguiar A.P.D.,Collste D.,Harmáčková Z.V.,et al. Co-designing global target-seeking scenarios: A cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability[J],2020,65.
APA	Aguiar A.P.D..,Collste D..,Harmáčková Z.V..,Pereira L..,Selomane O..,...&Van Der Leeuw S..(2020).Co-designing global target-seeking scenarios: A cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability.Global Environmental Change,65.
MLA	Aguiar A.P.D.,et al."Co-designing global target-seeking scenarios: A cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability".Global Environmental Change 65(2020).