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DOI | 10.1007/s10584-019-02387-9 |
Quantifying the effects of solar geoengineering on vegetation | |
Dagon K.; Schrag D.P. | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
起始页码 | 235 |
结束页码 | 251 |
卷号 | 153期号:2020-01-02 |
英文摘要 | Climate change will have significant impacts on vegetation and biodiversity. Solar geoengineering has potential to reduce the climate effects of greenhouse gas emissions through albedo modification, yet more research is needed to better understand how these techniques might impact terrestrial ecosystems. Here, we utilize the fully coupled version of the Community Earth System Model to run transient solar geoengineering simulations designed to stabilize radiative forcing starting mid-century, relative to the Representative Concentration Pathway 6 (RCP6) scenario. Using results from 100-year simulations, we analyze model output through the lens of ecosystem-relevant metrics. We find that solar geoengineering improves the conservation outlook under climate change, but there are still potential impacts on terrestrial vegetation. We show that rates of warming and the climate velocity of temperature are minimized globally under solar geoengineering by the end of the century, while trends persist over land in the Northern Hemisphere. Moisture is an additional constraint on vegetation, and in the tropics the climate velocity of precipitation dominates over that of temperature. Shifts in the amplitude of temperature and precipitation seasonal cycles have implications for vegetation phenology. Different metrics for vegetation productivity also show decreases under solar geoengineering relative to RCP6, but could be related to the model parameterization of nutrient cycling. The coupling of water and carbon cycles is found to be an important mechanism for understanding changes in ecosystems under solar geoengineering. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V. |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Climate modeling; Solar geoengineering; Terrestrial ecosystems |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Atmospheric radiation; Biodiversity; Climate models; Ecosystems; Gas emissions; Greenhouse gases; Vegetation; Geoengineering; Model parameterization; Northern Hemispheres; Radiative forcings; Terrestrial ecosystems; Terrestrial vegetation; Vegetation phenology; Vegetation productivity; Climate change; biodiversity; climate change; climate modeling; greenhouse gas; Northern Hemisphere; nutrient cycling; phenology; precipitation (climatology); radiative forcing; temperature effect; terrestrial ecosystem; vegetation cover |
来源期刊 | Climatic Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147520 |
作者单位 | National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dagon K.,Schrag D.P.. Quantifying the effects of solar geoengineering on vegetation[J],2019,153(2020-01-02). |
APA | Dagon K.,&Schrag D.P..(2019).Quantifying the effects of solar geoengineering on vegetation.Climatic Change,153(2020-01-02). |
MLA | Dagon K.,et al."Quantifying the effects of solar geoengineering on vegetation".Climatic Change 153.2020-01-02(2019). |
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