气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change and developing country growth: the cases of Malawi; Mozambique; and Zambia

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02428-3
	Climate change and developing country growth: the cases of Malawi; Mozambique; and Zambia
	Arndt C.; Chinowsky P.; Fant C.; Paltsev S.; Schlosser C.A.; Strzepek K.; Tarp F.; Thurlow J.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	335
结束页码	349
卷号	154 期号:2020-03-04
英文摘要	We consider the interplay of climate change impacts, global mitigation policies, and the economic interests of developing countries to 2050. Focusing on Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia, we employ a structural approach to biophysical and economic modeling that incorporates climate uncertainty and allows for rigorous comparison of climate, biophysical, and economic outcomes across global mitigation regimes. We find that effective global mitigation policies generate two sources of benefit. First, less distorted climate outcomes result in typically more favorable and less variable economic outcomes. Second, successful global mitigation policies reduce global fossil fuel producer prices, relative to unconstrained emissions, providing a substantial terms of trade boost of structural fuel importers. Combined, these gains are on the order of or greater than estimates of mitigation costs. These results highlight the interests of most developing countries in effective global mitigation policies, even in the relatively near term, with much larger benefits post-2050. © 2019, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Developing countries; Fossil fuels; Uncertainty analysis; Climate change impact; Economic interests; Economic modeling; Mitigation costs; Mitigation policies; Structural approach; Terms of trades; Two sources; Climate change; biophysics; climate change; developing world; emission control; environmental economics; environmental policy; fossil fuel; global perspective; growth rate; Malawi; Mozambique; Zambia
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147465
作者单位	Environment and Production Technology Division, International Food Policy Research Institute, 1201 Eye St. NW, Washington, DC 20005, United States; Civil Systems, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Colorado at Boulder, UCB 428, Boulder, CO 80309-0428, United States; Industrial Economics Inc., 2067 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02140, United States; Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, MIT, 77 Massachusetts Ave, E19-429F, Cambridge, MA 02139-4307, United States; World Institute for Development Economics Research, United Nations University, Katajanokanlaituri 6 B, Helsinki, FI-00160, Finland; Development Strategies and Governance Division, International Food Policy Research Institute, 1201 Eye St. NW, Washington, DC 20005, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Arndt C.,Chinowsky P.,Fant C.,et al. Climate change and developing country growth: the cases of Malawi; Mozambique; and Zambia[J],2019,154(2020-03-04).
APA	Arndt C..,Chinowsky P..,Fant C..,Paltsev S..,Schlosser C.A..,...&Thurlow J..(2019).Climate change and developing country growth: the cases of Malawi; Mozambique; and Zambia.Climatic Change,154(2020-03-04).
MLA	Arndt C.,et al."Climate change and developing country growth: the cases of Malawi; Mozambique; and Zambia".Climatic Change 154.2020-03-04(2019).