气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The link between smallholders’ perception of climatic changes and adaptation in Tanzania

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02581-9
	The link between smallholders’ perception of climatic changes and adaptation in Tanzania
	Brüssow K.; Gornott C.; Faße A.; Grote U.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	545
结束页码	563
卷号	157 期号:2020-03-04
英文摘要	Farmers’ subjective perceptions of climatic changes are not always in line with historic climate observations. Adaptation decisions based on these perceptions thus remain controversial. The paper therefore relates to the following questions: First, what are farmers’ perceptions of climatic changes? Second, do they correlate with observations from climatic data? Third, how do farmers respond and what are the factors determining adaptation? The analysis is based on household survey data from a sample of 900 farmers in rural Tanzania and secondary data from local meteorological stations. We find that farmers’ perception of a rising average temperature over time is generally confirmed. This is not the case for rainfall: farmers perceive that annual rainfall amount decreased, while climate data rather shows no change in the amount, but indicates a change in the rainfall pattern. However, we do find only a weak link between farmers’ perception and their behavior. Although farmers perceive climatic changes to happen and to affect them, some choose to not adapt at all and many only react in an evasive way, i.e., by coping measures that will not protect their household from future damage. Only a small share of farmers chose investment-intensive long-term strategies such as irrigation systems. Results confirm that a limited adaptive capacity plays a role, but also reveal the intention to adapt as a relevant factor. This is represented by the farmers’ loss experience due to climatic shocks and personality traits. This approach gives a more complete picture of the farmers’ adaptation decision. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Adaptation; Climatic changes; Tanzania
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Agriculture; Rain; Surveys; Adaptation; Adaptation decisions; Climate observations; Climatic changes; Irrigation systems; Meteorological station; Subjective perceptions; Tanzania; Climate change
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147352
作者单位	Institute for Environmental Economics and World Trade, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Königsworther Platz 1, Hannover, 30167, Germany; Leibniz Association, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), P.O. Box 60 12 03, Potsdam, D-14412, Germany; Environmental and Development Economics, Technical University Munich, Campus Straubing for Biotechnology and Sustainability, Am Essigberg 3, Straubing, 94315, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Brüssow K.,Gornott C.,Faße A.,等. The link between smallholders’ perception of climatic changes and adaptation in Tanzania[J],2019,157(2020-03-04).
APA	Brüssow K.,Gornott C.,Faße A.,&Grote U..(2019).The link between smallholders’ perception of climatic changes and adaptation in Tanzania.Climatic Change,157(2020-03-04).
MLA	Brüssow K.,et al."The link between smallholders’ perception of climatic changes and adaptation in Tanzania".Climatic Change 157.2020-03-04(2019).