气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessing the macroeconomic impacts of individual behavioral changes on carbon emissions

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DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02566-8
	Assessing the macroeconomic impacts of individual behavioral changes on carbon emissions
	Niamir L.; Kiesewetter G.; Wagner F.; Schöpp W.; Filatova T.; Voinov A.; Bressers H.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	141
结束页码	160
卷号	158 期号:2
英文摘要	In the last decade, instigated by the Paris agreement and United Nations Climate Change Conferences (COP22 and COP23), the efforts to limit temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels are expanding. The required reductions in greenhouse gas emissions imply a massive decarbonization worldwide with much involvement of regions, cities, businesses, and individuals in addition to the commitments at the national levels. Improving end-use efficiency is emphasized in previous IPCC reports (IPCC 2014). Serving as the primary ‘agents of change’ in the transformative process towards green economies, households have a key role in global emission reduction. Individual actions, especially when amplified through social dynamics, shape green energy demand and affect investments in new energy technologies that collectively can curb regional and national emissions. However, most energy-economics models—usually based on equilibrium and optimization assumptions—have a very limited representation of household heterogeneity and treat households as purely rational economic actors. This paper illustrates how computational social science models can complement traditional models by addressing this limitation. We demonstrate the usefulness of behaviorally rich agent-based computational models by simulating various behavioral and climate scenarios for residential electricity demand and compare them with the business as usual (SSP2) scenario. Our results show that residential energy demand is strongly linked to personal and social norms. Empirical evidence from surveys reveals that social norms have an essential role in shaping personal norms. When assessing the cumulative impacts of these behavioral processes, we quantify individual and combined effects of social dynamics and of carbon pricing on individual energy efficiency and on the aggregated regional energy demand and emissions. The intensity of social interactions and learning plays an equally important role for the uptake of green technologies as economic considerations, and therefore in addition to carbon-price policies (top-down approach), implementing policies on education, social and cultural practices can significantly reduce residential carbon emissions. © 2019, The Author(s).
英文关键词	Agent-based modeling; Behavioral change; Carbon emissions; Climate change mitigation; Energy economics; Macroeconomic impacts; Residential energy
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Autonomous agents; Carbon; Climate models; Computational methods; Economic and social effects; Economics; Emission control; Energy efficiency; Energy management; Gas emissions; Greenhouse gases; Housing; Investments; Agent-based model; Behavioral changes; Carbon emissions; Climate change mitigation; Energy economics; Macroeconomic impact; Residential energy; Climate change; assessment method; carbon emission; energy efficiency; environmental economics; green economy; macroeconomics; modeling; residential energy; urban area; France; Ile de France; Paris; Ville de Paris
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147338
作者单位	Department of Governance and Technology for Sustainability (CSTM), University of Twente, Drienerlolaan 5, Enschede, NB 7522, Netherlands; Air Quality and Greenhouse Gases Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Schlossplatz 1, Laxenburg, A-2361, Austria; Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Torgauer Straße 12-15, Berlin, 10829, Germany; School of Systems Management and Leadership, Faculty of Engineering and IT, University of Technology Sydney, 15 Broadway, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Niamir L.,Kiesewetter G.,Wagner F.,et al. Assessing the macroeconomic impacts of individual behavioral changes on carbon emissions[J],2020,158(2).
APA	Niamir L..,Kiesewetter G..,Wagner F..,Schöpp W..,Filatova T..,...&Bressers H..(2020).Assessing the macroeconomic impacts of individual behavioral changes on carbon emissions.Climatic Change,158(2).
MLA	Niamir L.,et al."Assessing the macroeconomic impacts of individual behavioral changes on carbon emissions".Climatic Change 158.2(2020).