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DOI10.1007/s10584-020-02799-y
Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study
Daioglou V.; Rose S.K.; Bauer N.; Kitous A.; Muratori M.; Sano F.; Fujimori S.; Gidden M.J.; Kato E.; Keramidas K.; Klein D.; Leblanc F.; Tsutsui J.; Wise M.; van Vuuren D.P.
发表日期2020
ISSN0165-0009
英文摘要Bioenergy is expected to play an important role in long-run climate change mitigation strategies as highlighted by many integrated assessment model (IAM) scenarios. These scenarios, however, also show a very wide range of results, with uncertainty about bioenergy conversion technology deployment and biomass feedstock supply. To date, the underlying differences in model assumptions and parameters for the range of results have not been conveyed. Here we explore the models and results of the 33rd study of the Stanford Energy Modeling Forum to elucidate and explore bioenergy technology specifications and constraints that underlie projected bioenergy outcomes. We first develop and report consistent bioenergy technology characterizations and modeling details. We evaluate the bioenergy technology specifications through a series of analyses—comparison with the literature, model intercomparison, and an assessment of bioenergy technology projected deployments. We find that bioenergy technology coverage and characterization varies substantially across models, spanning different conversion routes, carbon capture and storage opportunities, and technology deployment constraints. Still, the range of technology specification assumptions is largely in line with bottom-up engineering estimates. We then find that variation in bioenergy deployment across models cannot be understood from technology costs alone. Important additional determinants include biomass feedstock costs, the availability and costs of alternative mitigation options in and across end-uses, the availability of carbon dioxide removal possibilities, the speed with which large scale changes in the makeup of energy conversion facilities and integration can take place, and the relative demand for different energy services. © 2020, The Author(s).
英文关键词Bioenergy; Biomass; Climate policy; Integrated assessment models; Scenario analysis; Technological change
语种英语
scopus关键词Biomass; Carbon capture; Carbon dioxide; Climate models; Energy conversion; Feedstocks; Specifications; Bio-energy conversion technology; Bioenergy technology; Carbon dioxide removal; Climate change mitigation; Conversion facility; Integrated assessment models; Model inter comparisons; Technology deployment; Climate change
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147310
作者单位PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 30314, The Hague, 2500 GH, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable development, Utrecht University, Princetonlaan 8a, Utrecht, 3584 CB, Netherlands; Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Research Group, Electric Power Research Institute, 1325 G Street NW, Suite 530, Washington, DC 20005, United States; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Leibniz Association, PO Box 60 12 03, Potsdam, 14412, Germany; Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Calle Inca Garcilaso 3, Seville, 41092, Spain; National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO, United States; Systems Analysis Group, Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth, Kizugawa-shi, Kyoto, 619-0292, Japan; Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan; Department of Environmental Engineering, Kyoto University, Nishikyo-ku, Kyoto, 615-8540, Japan; International Institut...
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Daioglou V.,Rose S.K.,Bauer N.,et al. Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study[J],2020.
APA Daioglou V..,Rose S.K..,Bauer N..,Kitous A..,Muratori M..,...&van Vuuren D.P..(2020).Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study.Climatic Change.
MLA Daioglou V.,et al."Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study".Climatic Change (2020).
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