气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Farmers’ understanding of climate change in Nepal Himalayas: important determinants and implications for developing adaptation strategies

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02607-2
	Farmers’ understanding of climate change in Nepal Himalayas: important determinants and implications for developing adaptation strategies
	Paudel B.; Zhang Y.; Yan J.; Rai R.; Li L.; Wu X.; Chapagain P.S.; Khanal N.R.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	485
结束页码	502
卷号	158 期号:2020-03-04
英文摘要	Climate change affects the livelihood of farmers in a variety of ways. Farmers’ indigenous knowledge influences their perception of climate-related issues. A perception-based, semi-structured questionnaire survey of 530 households was performed to gather information about the awareness of, indicators for, and determinants of climate change. The survey covered three ecological regions of Nepal. The statistical analysis was done with a chi-square (χ2) test and a binary logistic regression (BLR) model to screen farmers’ perception of climate change. This study shows that socio-economic and agricultural characteristics of the farmers directly influence their perception of climate change. Farmers have identified climate change indicators in various forms, e.g., an increase in temperature (99.2% of those surveyed), a decrease in precipitation (98.9%), and an increase in climate-induced diseases and pests (96.8%) for agricultural crops. Observed precipitation (− 16.093 mm/year; p = 0.055) and temperature (0.0539 °C/year; p = 0.007) between 2000 and 2015 are both consistent with farmers’ perception. The selected independent variables are significantly correlated with the dependent variables, as confirmed by the BLR model, where χ2 = 83 with p = 0.002. The BLR shows there is a strong relationship between farmers’ perception of climate change and the group of descriptive variables, with a coefficient of determination of 85%. The biophysical characteristics and impact variables were the most important determinants. It is important that organizations and policymakers in Nepal develop adaptation strategies that improve the livelihoods of farmers. These strategies include introducing drought-tolerant crops, developing disease- and pest-tolerant seeds, constructing irrigation systems, and building hospitals. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Adaptation strategies; Climate change; Farmers’ perception; Logistic regression; Nepal
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Crops; Regression analysis; Surveys; Adaptation strategies; Binary logistic regression; Biophysical characteristics; Climate change indicators; Independent variables; Logistic regressions; Nepal; Questionnaire surveys; Climate change; adaptive management; climate change; developing world; indigenous knowledge; perception; questionnaire survey; regression analysis; strategic approach; Himalayas; Nepal
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147244
作者单位	Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China; CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China; Kathmandu Center for Research and Education, Chinese Academy of Sciences - Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu, Nepal; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China; College of Resources and Environment, Southwest University, Chongqing, 400716, China; Central Department of Geography, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu, Nepal
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Paudel B.,Zhang Y.,Yan J.,等. Farmers’ understanding of climate change in Nepal Himalayas: important determinants and implications for developing adaptation strategies[J],2020,158(2020-03-04).
APA	Paudel B..,Zhang Y..,Yan J..,Rai R..,Li L..,...&Khanal N.R..(2020).Farmers’ understanding of climate change in Nepal Himalayas: important determinants and implications for developing adaptation strategies.Climatic Change,158(2020-03-04).
MLA	Paudel B.,et al."Farmers’ understanding of climate change in Nepal Himalayas: important determinants and implications for developing adaptation strategies".Climatic Change 158.2020-03-04(2020).